For the Obama Show a slightly more important indicator of success than Nielsen ratings is the Gallup Poll. Today's Gallup tracking poll, in which most of the interviewing was done after the show, gives Obama a 10 point lead (52% to 42%) in both of their "likely voter" models. This is Obama's largest lead in quite some time - perhaps of the entire fall (I can't put my finger on the complete history of the Gallup numbers right now).
Not to say this is all or even mostly due to the show - but it is true that McCain was closing the gap a little up to mid week, and that momentum started to stall and then slightly reverse after the show. There still is plenty of uncertainty left in this race (our girl Rachel, who everyone but Kevin seems to be diggin, has been freaking out all week). OBama is winning the early voting, but nobody knows if that is just cannibalizing his Tuesday vote, or represents a real advantage (there are significant percentages of first time and sporadic voters in the early voting Obama totals, which is encouraging). But I had a few friends who were confident the Obama Show would backfire, and that McCain would surge in the polls in the three days after, giving him momentum into the final weekend. That did not happen. Obama's Auntie apparently is an illegal alien, Obama is a communist and a closet spokesman for the PLO, so these issues might still help McCain close the race. And I think he still has a decent chance to carry Arizona. --~--~---------~--~----~------------~-------~--~----~ Like TV only smarter. You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "TV or Not TV" group. To post to this group, send email to [email protected] To unsubscribe from this group, send email to [EMAIL PROTECTED] For more options, visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/tvornottv?hl=en -~----------~----~----~----~------~----~------~--~---
