Hulu will catch YouTube in drawing ads next year: analyst

http://www.cbc.ca/arts/story/2008/11/17/tech-youtube.html


YouTube's much smaller rival Hulu is expected to pull even with its
rival in terms of advertising revenue next year, which analysts say
could pronounce Google Inc.'s purchase of the video website two years
ago as a mistake.

Hulu, which is backed by News Corp. and NBC Universal, is expected to
earn about $70 million US in U.S. advertising this year, compared with
YouTube's $100 million US, according to Arash Amel, an analyst at
media research firm Screen Digest. Both websites are expected to pull
in about $180 million US next year.

YouTube earns about half its advertising revenue in the United States
and the rest internationally. Hulu, however, has not yet expanded into
international markets.

YouTube is considerably larger than its rival, drawing 83 million
unique U.S. viewers in September. Hulu pulled in six million viewers
in the same time frame, according to ratings tracker Nielsen.

Google paid $1.65 billion US for YouTube in 2006. The site was already
massively popular but featured mainly user-generated content or
pirated video, neither of which is useful in drawing advertising
dollars, Amel said.

"YouTube is in a very tough place right now," he told the Financial
Times. "Most of that user-generated content is worthless or illegal.
The next 18 months will determine whether or not it was just an
expensive mistake for Google."

YouTube has over the past few months signed deals with television
networks, including CBS and TVO in Canada. The website is also in
talks to offer feature-length films. Much of its content is still made
up of short, amateur-produced clips.

Hulu main content consists of network-produced shows, such as NBC's
The Office and Fox's The Simpsons.

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