WK     2-3   4      5      6       7             8          9
M:       5.7   4.3   4.9   4.7   4.6/1.3   4.3/1.3  4/1.2
T:         6.7  6.2   5.8   5.4   6.1/1.8    6.5/2.0 5.7/1.4
W:       6.2  5.7   6.2   5.2   5.0/1.5    4.7/1.3  4.6/1.4
Th:      4.9  4.9   5.2   5.0   4.4/1.6    4.7/1.7  4.6/1.6
F:        5.6  5.3   5.0   6.2   5.1/1.2    4.6/1.2  4.7/1.2
*AVE:   5.8  5.3   5.4   5.3   5.0/1.5    5.0/1.5  4.7/1.4*

WK      10         11         12             13         14
15         16
M:        4.6/1.2   4.5/1.4   4.7/1.3    4.7/1.3  4.8/1.5  5.8/1.6  3.2/.9
T:         6/1.8     4.9/1.9  DARK*    8.4/2.9   5.2/1.8   5.2/1.5  3.0/.9
W:       5.2/1.4  5.1/1.6   5.6/1.5   4.5/1.3    5.5/1.6   4.6/1.1  4.4/1.3
Th:      4.8/1.6  5.0/1.5  4.7/1.5   5.8/1.3    5.2/1.7    DARK   DARK
F:        5.1/1.5  3.5/1     4.8/1.4   5.8/1.9    5.6/1.4    3.7/1.1
3.4/1.0
*AVE:   5.0/1.5  4.6/1.5  5.2/1.5*  5.8/1.8    5.2/1.6    4.8/1.4* 3.5/1.0*

*
Not much to learn from this most atypical of weeks - Leno was in reruns for
4 nights (dark for NYE) and his competition was all RR except for ABC on
Wed.

I think one thing that is again clear (following last week's Leno RR on
Christmas Night) is that Leno does very poorly when he is in RR. There was
one bright spot (and again, the TV BY THE NUMBERS guys made a very big deal
out of this) which is that the Leno RR on W beat the new Eastwick on ABC. I
don't see that as too impressive however - Eastwick has done horribly this
year - Leno often beat it when both are in 1st run. Another not bad sign I
guess is that Leno tied the Numb3rs RR Friday night (in the demo, he got
pounded in total viewers), but both were up against the Sugar Bowl on the
East Coast - a very atypical Fox program on at 10:00.

NBC had to give Leno and his writers a week off somewhere, and this
low-viewership week made the most sense, however it also might have been a
good week for live Leno to make some hay. I think I might have gone with new
Lenos the last week in December and given him the next week off. But then I
would never, ever go with Leno RR - they just do not do very well. Most
nights this week Leno did no better than the lead-in from the Thur sitcom
marathon block NBC was giving him - they might as well have gone with 2
sitcom RR at 10:00 each night next week.

A growing problem that I see for NBC is that they are afraid to put on
anything in Leno's slot other than Leno RR because they don't want anything
to outperform Leno, yet Leno RR are dead weight.

TVBTN linked to an article in businessweek 12/31 on NBC's plans for next
year. (see portions below). In it NBC President Bromstad implied that Leno
would be back next year, and the premise for this is interesting: NBC's
schedule sucks so much in the 8-10 slots that they need Leno to use as caulk
to keep themselves on the air at 10:00 while they fix their other problems.


**************************
http://www.businessweek.com/news/2009-12-31/nbc-adds-pilots-to-reverse-7-years-of-falling-ratings-update1-.html

"NBC, last among U.S. television networks in prime-time viewers, plans to
increase production of new shows to the most since 2003 to reverse seven
straight seasons of declining ratings.

The 18 pilots planned for the season starting in September 2010 compare with
11 that were made before the current season, Angela Bromstad, president of
prime-time entertainment, said in a Dec. 21 interview. Pilots are test
episodes that compete for slots on network schedules.

More new shows increase the odds of developing hits, said Bromstad, who has
overseen prime-time programming for one year. The network, part of the NBC
Universal business that General Electric Co. is selling to Comcast Corp.,
reduced development when “Seinfeld” and “Friends” led ratings in the 1990s,
and continued to cut further. That left the New York-based network without
enough material, she said.

“In success we became used to making fewer and fewer pilots,” Bromstad said.
“We have to take more swings, take more shots creatively, and have more
back-up.”

NBC’s prime-time audience is headed for an eighth straight decline after it
moved comedian Jay Leno to 10 p.m., replacing more-expensive scripted
programs. Through Dec. 27, average viewership declined 1.2 percent from a
year earlier. In the 18- 49 age group targeted by advertisers, the audience
has dropped 8 percent, according to data from researcher Nielsen Co.

“With rival broadcast networks riding a relatively high number of new hit
shows premiering last fall, NBC appears to have the unenviable task of
having to reprogram well over 20 percent of its prime-time schedule for next
season,” Tuna Amobi, an analyst with Standard & Poor’s, said in an e-mail.

Leno’s one-hour show takes up five hours of the weeknight schedule, allowing
Bromstad to focus on the remaining 10 hours from 8 p.m. to 10 p.m., she
said.

“We have so many holes that we have to essentially rebuild the schedule,”
Bromstad said. “Not having the additional five hours has certainly relieved
some of the pressure.”
NBC will make 10 hour-long dramas and eight 30-minute comedies for the next
TV season, Bromstad said. While production will rise, the network is
spending less on each pilot and keeping costs steady, she said."

-- 
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