WK     2-3   4      5      6       7             8          9          10
M:       5.7   4.3   4.9   4.7   4.6/1.3   4.3/1.3  4/1.2      4.6/1.2
T:         6.7  6.2   5.8   5.4   6.1/1.8    6.5/2.0 5.7/1.4   6/1.8
W:       6.2  5.7   6.2   5.2   5.0/1.5    4.7/1.3  4.6/1.4  5.2/1.4
Th:      4.9  4.9   5.2   5.0   4.4/1.6    4.7/1.7  4.6/1.6  4.8/1.6
F:        5.6  5.3   5.0   6.2   5.1/1.2    4.6/1.2  4.7/1.2  5.1/1.5
*AVE:   5.8  5.3   5.4   5.3   5.0/1.5    5.0/1.5  4.7/1.4  5.0/1.5*

WK      11         12             13         14          15
16        17
M:        4.5/1.4   4.7/1.3    4.7/1.3  4.8/1.5  5.8/1.6  3.2/.9     4.8/1.5
T:         4.9/1.9  DARK*    8.4/2.9   5.2/1.8   5.2/1.5  3.0/.9    6.4/2.2
W:       5.1/1.6   5.6/1.5   4.5/1.3    5.5/1.6   4.6/1.1  4.4/1.3  5.2/1.6
Th:      5.0/1.5  4.7/1.5   5.8/1.3    5.2/1.7    DARK   DARK   4.6/1.4
F:        3.5/1     4.8/1.4   5.8/1.9    5.6/1.4    3.7/1.1  3.4/1.0
5.8/1.4
*AVE:   4.6/1.5  5.2/1.5*  5.8/1.8    5.2/1.6    4.8/1.4*3.5/1.0* 5.3/1.6*

Other than that, Mr. Leno had an okay week. His average of 5.3M viewers, 1.6
rating in the demo is a return to his somewhat improved plateau he
established since Thanksgiving week (after a really bad November). I thought
there was some possibility that after a week of reruns a significant number
of his viewers would have broken themselves of the Leno habit - but they did
come back. He was up against RR on CBS 2 nights (he lost to both, again),
first runs on CBS 2 nights, and a special on CBS 1 night (People's Choice
Awards, which I think won the night). He was third or fourth each night
(except that he pretty much tied Ugly Betty). He was also up against a lot
of college football in the east coast, including the BCS Championship game,
which was the most watched program since the Oscars.

Even with all the buzz about this show on Thursday he got no bump, actually
posting his worst Thursday demo rating ever (that was the night of the BCS
Championship).

This is pretty much the story of the Jay Leno Show - against weak
competition he does around 5.2-5.3 and a 1.6 rating; against regular
competition he does around 5.0 and a 1.5. This has got to be about 15-25%
worse than NBC had seriously expected him to do.

I have read several theories as to why they pulled the trigger this last
week - one interesting one is that NBC needed to throw the affiliates a bone
to get their support for the Comcast deal. I think one big factor is that
they got a financial analysis that showed that the underlying Mantra of the
JLP - that it is so cheap to make it is profitable even at very low ratings
levels, was not proving to be true. I am not sure if that analysis is
limited to the financials of the show itself, or includes an accounting of
the shows effect on other day parts in the schedule. I notice that Meet the
Press is losing ground to This week, and even the Today Show is starting to
lose ground in the early days of the Georgie regime. NBC is just about to
face life without Sunday Night Football, and I suppose their tolerance for
the Leno crater just reached its breaking point.
-- 
TV or Not TV .... The Smartest (TV) People!
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