On Tue, Mar 9, 2010 at 5:23 PM, donz5 <[email protected]> wrote:

> I wonder if NBC's poor ratings for its 10 PM slot might have
> contributed to Jay's Monday-night drop.
>
> If that's the case, then, ah, the irony.
>

>From the article: "That's because "Trauma" tainted "L&O," which managed a
third-place 1.5/4 at 10 p.m. -- down 25 percent from last week, when NBC
aired a double dose of the drama from 9-11 p.m. Worse, "L&O" was actually
off 6 percent from what "The Jay Leno Show" had been averaging at 10 p.m.
Mondays."

The claim that L&O was off 6% from the JLS average is true - but only when
the first three, highly atypical weeks of the JLS are included in the
average. Leno averaged a 1.6 demo rating on Monday if you include every
Monday show, but only 1.5 if you begin the calculation with week 4.His last
4 Monday nights he did: 1.3, 1.2, 1.1, & 1.2. So, while technically correct,
it is misleading if it makes anyone think that, had Leno still been on at
10:00 this Monday, he would have done better (or even the same) as L&O did.
He probably would have had a 1.2, which is about 15% lower than what L&O did
this Monday.


I don't see any obvious line-up advantage for Dave on Monday night (he had
Ripa, Leno had Simon Cowell). I agree it will be hard for Leno to blame bad
10:00 lead-ins for a while with a straight face. NBC did 7 percentage points
better relative to CBS on Tuesday compared to Monday at the 10:00 hour, Leno
beat Dave on Tuesday, lost to him on Monday. If the Leno-Dave match-up
remains this close (and I am really surprised it is this close, this soon
after Leno's return) then the 10:00 lead-in may be enough of a factor to
make the difference.

-- 
TV or Not TV .... The Smartest (TV) People!
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