I can only speak with much confidence to general trends with the storm, which has been curving through the eastern part of the projected path over the last 24 hours or so. Points west and north of the NYC area seem to be a safer bet (current track places the storm center amidst Long Island shortly after 8 am Sunday), though heavy rain and wind are likely for at least 125 miles on either side of the eye. I would try to get out of Westchester, and aim for west of the Hudson. Probably not easily done, though Metro North Rail does go much further north and west than Scarsdale.
If there's a bridge crossing involved in her route, the earlier the better, since they take the early brunt of wind. My employer is headquartered in Manhattan (I work in D.C.) and they indicated they will try and have some kind of messaging in place by Sunday evening wrt who should come in (if anyone) on Monday. If she hasn't already checked in with her internship place, that should probably be part of her conversations this weekend. Something worth figuring out is how long it will take to restore service to NYC mass transit once an all-clear is sounded. If it's taking time to get trains to safe locations, it will take time to get them into operation for Monday. Even if your daughter is expected in on Monday, transit delays seem likely. Best to everyone, David ________________________________ From: PGage <[email protected]> To: [email protected] Sent: Saturday, August 27, 2011 12:52 AM Subject: [TV orNotTV] NO TV: Hurricane Info My daughter (age 22) is currently living in what I think is referred to as the lower east side of Manhattan (near east 2nd street, around one of the alphabet avenues, I think A, B or C). Looking at the Hurricane Map for Manhattan, it seems like she is right on the border between Zone B & Zone C (which is marked for evacuation in the case of a Level 2 or 3 Hurricane). They seem to be predicting that by the time it gets to NYC it will be Category 1 or even down to tropical storm, but the problem is, the national news seems to be saying that, regardless of the strength of the storm, it is moving slow enough, and it is large enough and targeted on NY Harbor, that there will be a hell of a lot of water in the storm surge, which will likely flood coastal areas of Manhattan. I am trying to do 2 things: 1 - persuade my potentially foolishly brave young adult daughter to be better safe than sorry and leave her apartment tomorrow before the buses and trains stop, and 2 - if successful with #1, figure out where a safe place is to move her to (trying to get a hotel room). I was able to get a reservation for sunday night at a national chain hotel around 35th street and 6th avenue, which looks to be a safe location under even the worst case scenarios, but was not able to find a vacancy for Saturday night at any medium priced (3 star or so) hotel in that "white" (safe) zone. The problem there is that the buses and trains are going to stop at Noon, so even though she probably does not need to leave her apartment tomorrow, if she leaves sunday morning she will have to walk 2 miles to the hotel (unless the taxis will still be operating?). I could probably find a room for her for saturday and sunday out of Manhattan, but I can't with confidence figure out where to send her out of the line of fire. Much of New Jersey seems to be in danger, and, while she has friends in the Scarsdale area, it seems they might be in some danger too. Here are my questions for anyone familiar with the area and conditions: 1. Would you evacuate if you were in a Zone B/C area before the City requires it? It seems like, even if the chances of serious flooding are minimal, waiting until you know for sure might be too late, since there will be no way to get out of there. 2. Will taxis be operating in Manhattan Sunday morning (even when the buses and subways are offline)? 3. Where off of Manhattan island would you recommend trying to find a moderately priced, safe hotel room? Should I be looking in New Jersey (it seems like there are few places there that are not kind of close to a river at least), or more update or western New York? Of course her mother and I would like to put her on a plane back to civilization in California for a few days visit - aside from the ouch of the cost of a r/t ticket with no notice, she does have a really good internship that she has just started, and would not like to miss on Monday (or Tuesday, if weather requires it). -- TV or Not TV .... The Smartest (TV) People! You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "TV or Not TV" group. To post to this group, send email to [email protected] To unsubscribe from this group, send email to [email protected] For more options, visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/tvornottv?hl=en -- TV or Not TV .... The Smartest (TV) People! You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "TV or Not TV" group. To post to this group, send email to [email protected] To unsubscribe from this group, send email to [email protected] For more options, visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/tvornottv?hl=en
