On Wed, Nov 7, 2012 at 12:08 PM, Dave Sikula <[email protected]> wrote:

> For me, the point isn't whether Silver was right or not (which he was, in
> spades), but how much (and well) the right has worked the refs so that the
> traditional media have been utterly cowed into not covering any story in
> such a way that they can be called for "liberal bias."
>
> I think most reporters and journalists are "leftist" by nature (at its
> best, journalism should question the status quo, imo), but years of
> pressure have led us to "one side says this/the other side says that"
> reporting, so I don't expect "the media" to apologize or contextualize
> Silver's predictions any more than I expect them to anathematize Dick
> Morris for his own ludicrous predictions, the Sunday yack shows to stop
> booking McCain, or Beltway pundits to stop emitting risible gas.


I think you are right that TV news has been effectively castrated by the
pressure groups, but I found it even more disturbing that they distorted or
ignored polling data for their own direct self-interest as well.

I actually would have been happier if they had said something like: "Nate
Silver from 538 predicts a pretty clear Obama win, while the Gallup Poll
predicts a narrow win by Romney - watch us Tuesday night and find out which
is right". That would have been a major distortion too of course, since one
is an aggregator of many polls, and the other is a single poll, but at
least it would begin to give viewers some tools for thinking about the
night. They could have referred to RCP, a Republican aggregator, but then
they would have had to say: Silver predicts a 2.5 point Obama win, RCP
predicts a .7 point Obama win - watch us and find out which is right".

Instead, they repeatedly endlessly: "The race is so close not even God can
tell who is likely to win - the only way you can have any idea is to watch
us tonight".

-- 
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