On Tue, Apr 9, 2013 at 3:10 AM, JW <[email protected]> wrote:

> > I do. And this screams bluff on so many levels, it's not worth taking
> > seriously.
>
> This. I suspect the problems with their NFL contract would be enough
> to make the threat a non-starter.


Exactly. Fox signed a 9-year extension with the NFL in 2011 that runs their
contract through 2022. They have 4 more Super Bowls to air under that
contract. I am not sure if any of the broadcast networks actually run a
profit on the NFL deal, given how much they have to pay for it, but if
there is profit or value in it, surely it comes from those Super Bowl
years. I have not seen the actual contract, but I highly suspect that ESPN
has been promised that, with a few exceptions (for the NFL Network), they
will be the only cable operator showing NFL games. If Fox becomes a cable
operator it seems likely they would not be able to air those Super Bowls,
and would probably be in breach of a pretty huge contract, which would open
them up to who knows how much in punitive damages.

There are other reasons to think this is an empty threat, but the NFL deal
was the first one I thought of too.

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