On Thu, Mar 30, 2017 at 9:44 AM, Adam Bowie <[email protected]> wrote:

> I think Variety's maths is a little off - or at least they're not fully
> painting a picture.
>
> They have 5% of the population (13m) willing to pay $50, and 13% (34m)
> paying $25. But of course the price *is* per viewing as you can't charge a
> per person fee at home.
>
> So it's not 13m people who would theoretically be willing pay $50, but 13m
> *homes.*
>
> Indeed, if it was a large family who want to see the new superhero film,
> then getting some snacks from a supermarket and then paying $50 to watch
> the movie would definitely be cheaper than going out. At $25 it becomes a
> bit more a steal. On the other hand, if I mostly watch films by myself,
> then this is not very appealing from a price perspective.
>
> (However if it means watching a film without distractions like people
> checking their phone constantly, then maybe...)
>

I would be really hesitant about extrapolating the Variety poll to the
population at large. If the poll says that 13% say they would pay $25 to
stream a new movie I would not take it for granted that there are 34
million that actually would. For a family that has a 50 inch TV and 50
Mb/sec broadband the experience of watching a movie at home could be close
enough to watching it in a theater. For them getting 4 or 5 friends
together to pitch in the cost and watch a superhero movie or all the
neighborhood kids together to watch a Pixar movie seems reasonable. Rural
families may not have access to broadband, large TV sets, or the funds for
new movies.

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