You're asking the wrong folks.  Most of the developers here do not
have any real capital investment in their projects to speak of.  Fewer
still have a profit model.

Is Twitter a Fad?
The easy answer, yes.
The long answer? Yes, but it needn't be...

Unless Twitter makes a very real move to legitimize itself as a stable
and growing (relevant) platform for end users, you will be better off
focusing your capital on social media projects with more long term
sustainability.

Be aware, very few actual businesses have invested real dollars and
labor into integration w/ Twitter (sales force, dell, whoot, et al) as
opposed to the thousands who have adopted Facebook's API.

The reason is not a matter of playing favorites, it's a matter of
mitigating risk.  Presently, Twitter is a fad.  It's popularity and
its current growth pattern is a result of novelty and a media bubble.

However, Twitter has a very real chance to galvanize that momentum
into a serious business (one that includes us third party developers),
but it must move swiftly.  Facebook is posturing to take over
Twitter's market space.  Not because it wants to obliterate Twitter as
a competitor, but because they know what we know.  The 'correct'
social network exists somewhere between FB and Twitter.

Both companies _should_ be racing towards that space.  Whoever
dominates it (and thusly deserves our investment) will be the one who
a.) gets there first and b.) properly courts the developer community
to enrich it.

There are only two ways to convince real companies to invest real capital:

1.) Prove the users are there
2.) Guarantee a market

Apple has shown us this model at scale.

A rich developer community, incentivized by a Twitter regulated "app
store," and a firm developer bill of rights will ensure Twitter stays
relevant (and its users enjoy a rich experience) for a lot longer than
it should.  It also gets to 'grow up' into a real company and earn
revenue from a reseller split (again, via Apple).


-- 
Kevin Mesiab
CEO, Mesiab Labs L.L.C.
http://twitter.com/kmesiab
http://mesiablabs.com
http://retweet.com

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