Let me add two remarks to the series of comments about join tree 
propagation, variable elimination, bucket elimination, etc.

First, an important paper has not been mentioned so far:

>Prakash P. Shenoy, "Binary Join Trees for Computing Marginals in the 
>Shenoy-Shafer Architecture," International Journal of Approximate 
>Reasoning, Vol. 17, Nos. 2--3, 1997, pp. 239--263.

Section 4 proposes the so-called "Fusion Algorithm" with a one-to-one 
correspondance to variable elimination. Section 5 described then 
clearly the relationship between fusion and join tree propagation. 
Surprisingly, this work has not received much attention in terms of 
related papers that refer to it, although, as much as I know, it's 
the first description of variable elimination in a general setting.

Second, there is a further alternative that has not been mentioned so 
far. Instead of doing inward propagation (or fusion, bucket 
eliminaiton, etc. for individual marginals) and inward/outward 
propagation (for all marginals of the join tree), it is also possible 
to

  1) do the usual inward propagation towards an empty node
  2) add the query (event, hypothesis, or whatever) in a particular 
way to a corresponding node in the join tree, and then do a PARTIAL 
inward propagation.

Phase 1) can be considered as compilation, while in phase 2), 
arbitrary queries are answered.

This method has several advantages, e.g. if the query is a logical OR 
over several variables, then it still works, even if there is no node 
in the tree that contains all the variables involved.

This procedure works for

- - Bayesian networks:
>R. Haenni and J. Kohlas and N. Lehmann. Computing Probabilities of 
>Events in Bayesian Networks. Pages 1307--1312 of: IPMU'00, 
>Proceedings of the 8th international conference, Madrid, Spain. . 
>2000.

- - Dempster-Shafer belief functions:
>N. Lehmann and R. Haenni. An Alternative to Outward Propagation for 
>Dempster-Shafer Belief Functions. Pages 256--267 of: A. Hunter and 
>S. Parsons (eds.), European Conf. ECSQARU'99, London. Springer. 
>Lecture Notes in Artif. Intell. 1999.

- Probabilistic Argumentation Systems:
>R. Haenni and J. Kohlas and N. Lehmann. Probabilistic Argumentation 
>Systems. J. Kohlas and S. Moral (eds.), Handbook of Defeasible 
>Reasoning and Uncertainty Management Systems, Volume 5: Algorithms 
>for Uncertainty and Defeasible Reasoning. Kluwer, Dordrecht. 2000.

Best regards,

Rolf Haenni
-- 

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