Dear Members,

Chance Discovery has been progressing to organize workshops, special 
and regular sessions in relevant societies. The outline has been 
reflected to 
http://www.gssm.otsuka.tsukuba.ac.jp/staff/osawa/ChanceDiscovery.html.
Here you can find near-future events as well on Chance Discovery.

BTW, the submission deadline came to be extended for the Special 
Issue on Chance Discovery from Journal of New Generation Computing. 
The original deadline was 31st Dec, and the new is

 February 20, 2002. 

Thank you very much for attentions to and circulations of the CFP.

Yukio Ohsawa
 - Associate Professor, Graduate School of Business Sciences,
  University of Tsukuba 
 - Researcher of PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Corporation 
Address: GSSM, University of Tsukuba, 3-29-1 Otsuka, Bunkyo-ku 
Tokyo 112-0012 Japan
Fax: +81-3-3942-6829
E-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]


************ Call for Papers ************
 
New Generation Computing (Ohmsha Ltd. and Springer Verlag) welcomes 
contributions for a special issue "Chance Discovery," edited by 
Yukio Ohsawa and Akinori Abe (planned for Vol.21, No.1, Nov 2002). 


[The Scope of Chance Discovery]
A "chance" here means an event or a situation with significant impact 
on human decision making -- a new event/situation that can be conceived 
either as an opportunity or as a risk. The "discovery" of a chance is 
to become aware of and to explain the significance of a chance, 
especially if the chance is rare and its significance is unnoticed. 
Desirable effects of opportunities should  be actively promoted, 
whereas preventive measures should be taken in the case of discovered 
risks. In other words, chance discovery aims to provide means 
for inventing or surviving in the future, rather than predicting the 
future.

The essential aspect of a chance (risk or opportunity) is that it can
be the seed of new and significant changes in the near future. The 
discovery of new opportunities might be more beneficial than reliance 
on past frequent success -patterns (usually used in prediction methods), 
because they are not known yet by oneself or one's business rivals. The
discovery of new risks might be indispensable to avoid or lessen damage, 
because they cannot be explained by past frequent damage-patterns. 
Therefore, being aware of a novel important event without ignoring it 
as noise in the data is essential for a future success. Besides data 
mining methods for finding rare but important events 

from time-series, it is also important to draw humans attention to such
events, i.e., to make humans ready to catch chances. In this sense, human
- - - -information
interactions are highly relevant to chance discovery. Furthermore, chance 
discovery can be seen as an extension of risk management to computer-aided 
problem solving where novel situations are involved.
 
This special issue of New Generation Computing Journal is intended to 
bring together studies from artificial intelligence, human-computer 
interaction, social and cognitive sciences, marketing researches, risk 
management, knowledge discovery and data mining, and other related 
domains, for presenting breakthroughs to real-world chance discoveries.
 
[Relevant Areas]
 We welcome submissions of research papers on having human/agents/robots 
discover chances, e.g. (not restricted to),
 - - New products worth to promote sales 
 - - Potential customers to send advertising mails
 - - Risks due to side-effects of a new drug
 - - Signs of great earthquakes in the future
 - - Keywords in documents, indicating significantly beneficial directions for 
   activities in the real human society 
 - - New keywords on the World-Wide Web which show attractive future trends
 - - Leading opinions in chat rooms or BBS,
 - - Behaviors of young people which might lead to their fatal crimes.
 - - Anomalies with significant impact on economy
 - - Generic methods for Chance Discovery, etc.

>From theoretical viewpoints, relevant topics as 
 - - Theories for Chance Discovery 
 - - Complex systems, e.g., chaos, nonlinear physics, where a small cause 
  results in a great effect
 - - Statistic theories and  applications of the extremals
 - - Logical foundations for Chance Discovery
 are welcomed. 

Topics from information visualization and other human-information 
interaction designs, for aiding human awareness and discovery of chances,
will be regarded as very significant submissions, too. Please keep in 
mind that editors eagerly desire submissions which help editors discover 
new topics relevant to chance discovery.

[Instructions for Submission]
 
* Submission Deadline of Papers: *** February 20, 2002 *** 
 
Please send a paper (in English) following author's instructions in 
http://www.ohmsha.co.jp/ngc/.
Style files are available from this instruction page. For a template, 
please see sample in 
http://www.gssm.otsuka.tsukuba.ac.jp/staff/osawa/sample.tex. 

The paper submission should not exceed ten pages in this format. 
 In submission, please send 
 - three hard copies to the following post address, or
 - send an electronic version by e-mail (.ps or .pdf) to the e-mail 
   address below.

[Contact Information]
 
Yukio OHSAWA, Guest Editor of the Special Issue on Chance Discovery, 
 New Generation Computing (Ohmsha Ltd., and Springer Verlag)
 Address: GSSM, University of Tsukuba, 3-29-1 Otsuka, Bunkyo-ku Tokyo 
          112-0012 Japan 
Fax: +81-3-3942-6829 
E-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED] 

* All manuscripts will be reviewed by editors, guest editors and their 
   collaborators. 
* Notification of acceptance or request for revision will be made by 
   May 31, 2002. 
* The final version of each accepted manuscript is due by July 30, 
   2002.

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