Dear All, I am interested in the historical develpment of using probability to management uncertainty.
I vaguely remember in some paper it mentioned that long time ago, probably in 1960-70, people already thought of using probability to deal with uncertainty. Then they abandoned this idea for some reason. Then in the later 80's, Bayeian networks get popular and becomes very mature today. My questions regarding this develpment of using probabilty for uncertatinty are: 1. why did people abandon the probability idea? What's the problem? represtataional obstacle or computational obstacle? 2. Why did Bayesian nets succeed? I guess, Bayesia nets must have solved the problems in the answer of question 1. What's the story behind? 3. Has any paper mentioned a bit of the historical development of using probability for uncertainty? Thank you in advance, Bob
