Hi, In my opinion, Allais' and Ellsberg's paradoxes make more sense if they are called Allais' and Ellsberg's "irrationalities" or "quirks". A paradox gives me the strong impression of a "theorem breaker", which these two interesting descriptions of human nature don't do for me. I've always experienced probability theory as the study of how people *should* think/gamble/etc. as opposed to how they do think.
This makes me wonder - fuzzy theory also seems to be closer to how people actually do think than probability theory. Is fuzzy logic at heart prescriptive or descriptive? This could explain the difficulty I have to think fuzzy, compared to the relative ease of reasoning about probability theory. Ludwig Schwardt
