Dear Joe:
First, I should like to congratulate you on fathering a
beautiful baby. Your book " Reasoning About Uncertainty," is
outstanding in all respects. My hat off to you. I have not seen the
papers referred to in your message and naturally am curious about how
you would handle my "raincoats" example. Specifically, the question is
to what degree the increase in advertising causes the increase in
sales. Is causality a bivalent concept in your approach? If it is, then
I cannot see how you can address what is usually the case, namely, an
event is caused by a multiplicity of other events, some visible and some
not.
With warm regards.
Sincerely,
Lotfi
P.S. It is hard to formalize what sits in our heads when what sits in
our heads is hard to fathom. This is the problem with formalization of
causality .
--
Lotfi A. Zadeh
Professor in the Graduate School, Computer Science Division
Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Sciences
University of California
Berkeley, CA 94720 -1776
Director, Berkeley Initiative in Soft Computing (BISC)
Address:
Computer Science Division
University of California
Berkeley, CA 94720-1776
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Tel.(office): (510) 642-4959
Fax (office): (510) 642-1712
Tel.(home): (510) 526-2569
Fax (home): (510) 526-2433
Fax (home): (510) 526-5181
http://www.cs.berkeley.edu/People/Faculty/Homepages/zadeh.html
BISC Homepage URLs:
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URL: http://zadeh.cs.berkeley.edu/
