*SECOND ANNOUNCEMENT

*

*2^nd **SIPTA SCHOOL** **ON** IMPRECISE PROBABILITIES*

* *
*Madrid**, **July 24-28, 2006***

*
http://bayes.escet.urjc.es/~emiranda/sipta*

Imprecise probability is a generic term for the many mathematical or 
statistical models which measure chance or uncertainty without sharp 
numerical probabilities. These models include belief functions, Choquet 
capacities, comparative probability orderings, convex sets of 
probability measures, fuzzy measures, interval-valued probabilities, 
possibility measures, plausibility measures, and upper and lower 
expectations or previsions. Imprecise probability models are needed in 
inference problems where the relevant information is scarce, vague or 
conflicting and in decision problems where preferences may also be 
incomplete.

The school is intended as a wide and deep introduction to imprecise 
probability topics, both theoretical and applied. Specifically, the 
school will focus on coherent lower previsions and their behavioural 
interpretation, non-additive measures and applications to decision 
theory, the imprecise Dirichlet model, predictive inference with 
imprecise probabilities, and knowledge discovery from data sets under 
weak assumptions. It will be an aim of the school to connect the 
mentioned topics into an overall picture within the framework of 
imprecise probabilities.

The Second SIPTA School on Imprecise Probabilities will take place in 
the Headquarters of the Rey Juan Carlos University Foundation, in Madrid 
(Spain), on July 24-28, 2006. It is an event organized by the 
International Society for Imprecise Probability: Theories and 
Applications (SIPTA <http://www.sipta.org/>) and by the Group of 
Statistics and Decision Sciences (GECD <http://bayes.escet.urjc.es/>) 
from Rey Juan Carlos University. It is a Satellite Conference from the 
International Congress of Mathematicians (ICM’2006).

You can find all the relevant information on 
http://bayes.escet.urjc.es/~emiranda/sipta 
<http://bayes.escet.urjc.es/%7Eemiranda/sipta>

*Schedule and topics*

Each of the five days of the summer school will be devoted to a 
different topic, and the time will be divided equally between theory and 
exercises/applications. The topics covered will be:

    * The Imprecise Dirichlet Model (/Jean-Marc Bernard, Université
      Paris V/).
    * Predictive inference with imprecise probabilities (/Gert de
      Cooman, //Ghent// //University/).
    * Non-additive measures and applications on decision theory
      (/Jean-Yves Jaffray, Université Paris VI/).
    * Coherent lower previsions and their behavioural interpretation
      (/Enrique Miranda, //Rey// //Juan// //Carlos// //University// and
      Matthias Troffaes, Carnegie Mellon University/).
    * Knowledge discovery from data sets under weak assumptions: the
      case of prior ignorance and incomplete data (/Marco Zaffalon//,
      IDSIA/).

*****Registration*

If you would like to attend the school on Imprecise Probabilities, 
please fill in the pre-registration form on 
http://bayes.escet.urjc.es/~emiranda/sipta 
<http://bayes.escet.urjc.es/%7Eemiranda/sipta> no later than March 31, 
2006, enclosing a short CV (no longer than 2 pages). Notification on 
acceptance will be made on April 15, 2006.

The registration fee of the school is of 50 euros. It includes admission 
to the sessions, the coffee breaks, a visit to the Royal Palace of San 
Lorenzo de El Escorial, and the gala dinner.

*Contact*

If you have any questions or remarks, please contact Enrique Miranda by 
e-mail, at [EMAIL PROTECTED] <mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]>

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