Probably none of these specifically. It's a timing issue so it depends
on how fast the system is loaded from the drive. For me, faster drive or
installing server software equally hid the bug. Faster drive probably
because nvidia loads faster now and the server software because X was
delayed a second or two.

Looking at your changes, the update that made the issue appear probably
made some start-up component faster, speculatively mountall looks
interesting, but I haven't checked the change log. The next update
updated at least one service, potentially making the startup again
slightly slower.

The triggering factors of this bug can range from hardware to installed
packages to how fragmented your drive is and how much drive seeking for
components happens during load. None of these are really the cause. The
cause is that upstart optimized for fast start up is starting X before
the underlying system is ready in some systems and under some
circumstances.

-- 
X server starts randomly in failsafe when starting from cold boot
https://bugs.launchpad.net/bugs/459639
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