Still seeing this issue with 1.99~20110112-1ubuntu1:

$ sudo grub-install --force /dev/sdb1
/usr/sbin/grub-probe: error: cannot stat `aufs'.

$ cat /proc/self/mountinfo
14 22 0:14 / /sys rw,nosuid,nodev,noexec,relatime - sysfs none rw
15 22 0:3 / /proc rw,nosuid,nodev,noexec,relatime - proc none rw
16 22 0:5 / /dev rw,relatime - devtmpfs none 
rw,size=1917364k,nr_inodes=479341,mode=755
17 16 0:11 / /dev/pts rw,nosuid,noexec,relatime - devpts none 
rw,gid=5,mode=620,ptmxmode=000
18 14 0:15 / /sys/fs/fuse/connections rw,relatime - fusectl fusectl rw
19 22 8:17 / /cdrom rw,relatime - vfat /dev/sdb1 
rw,fmask=0022,dmask=0022,codepage=cp437,iocharset=iso8859-1,shortname=mixed,errors=remount-ro
20 22 7:0 / /rofs ro,noatime - squashfs /dev/loop0 ro
22 1 0:16 / / rw,noatime - aufs aufs rw,si=a4deb630c6c33ec0
23 14 0:7 / /sys/kernel/debug rw,relatime - debugfs none rw
24 14 0:10 / /sys/kernel/security rw,relatime - securityfs none rw
25 16 0:17 / /dev/shm rw,nosuid,nodev,relatime - tmpfs none rw
26 22 0:18 / /tmp rw,nosuid,nodev,relatime - tmpfs tmpfs rw
27 22 0:19 / /var/run rw,nosuid,relatime - tmpfs none rw,mode=755
28 22 0:20 / /var/lock rw,nosuid,nodev,noexec,relatime - tmpfs none rw
29 15 0:21 / /proc/sys/fs/binfmt_misc rw,nosuid,nodev,noexec,relatime - 
binfmt_misc binfmt_misc rw
31 22 0:22 / /home/ubuntu/.gvfs rw,nosuid,nodev,relatime - 
fuse.gvfs-fuse-daemon gvfs-fuse-daemon rw,user_id=999,group_id=999

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https://bugs.launchpad.net/bugs/700147

Title:
  grub-probe fails to find grub device for uuid (raid)

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