Thank you for using Ubuntu and ufw and filing a bug.

I cannot reproduce this, and it should work because of these lines in 
/etc/ufw/before.rules:
# quickly process packets for which we already have a connection
-A ufw-before-input -m state --state RELATED,ESTABLISHED -j ACCEPT
-A ufw-before-output -m state --state RELATED,ESTABLISHED -j ACCEPT

Because you allow everything in, the connection is tracked and the outgoing 
connection is not blocked. This sounds like it could be a problem with iptables 
initialization. The domU-12-31-39-15-05-EC also suggests this is not an Ubuntu 
kernel. I recommend running the following:
$ sudo /usr/share/ufw/check-requirements

If that passes, please compare the rules files in /usr/share/ufw/*rules with 
what you have in /etc/ufw/*rules and see if something was removed. You can also 
run (after reboot):
$ sudo /lib/ufw/ufw-init force-reload

and see what errors it produces (if it says that ufw is not enabled,
adjust /etc/ufw/ufw.conf to have ENABLED=yes and try again).

** Changed in: ufw (Ubuntu)
       Status: New => Incomplete

** Changed in: ufw (Ubuntu)
     Assignee: (unassigned) => Jamie Strandboge (jdstrand)

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https://bugs.launchpad.net/bugs/666102

Title:
  allow all incoming becomes deny after reboot

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