I think that the problem comes from sunbird. 
You have a version karmic and there is a rule "Replaces: libnss3" which holds 
back libnss3. Because libnss3-1d is renamed to libnss3 during the upgrade to 
Natty the upgrade fails.
If you remove sunbird and its dependencies you should be able to upgrade. 

Note that sunbird has been removed from the archive since Lucid and is
available as Thunderbird Lightning extension.

** Changed in: update-manager (Ubuntu)
   Importance: Undecided => Low

** Summary changed:

- Upgrade from 10.10 to 11.04 fails
+ Upgrade from 10.10 to 11.04 fails: sunbird/karmic holds back libnss3

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https://bugs.launchpad.net/bugs/760713

Title:
  Upgrade from 10.10 to 11.04 fails: sunbird/karmic holds back libnss3

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