Reproduces with 'apt-get dist-upgrade' from a clone of your state.
Debug::pkgPackageManager=true says:

SmartConfigure libtinfo5
  DepAdd: libtinfo5
SmartConfigure libtinfo5
  DepAdd: libtinfo5
    DepAdd: libc6
      DepAdd FAILS on: libc6
    DepAdd FAILS on: libtinfo5
PreDepends order for libncurses5
Found ok package multiarch-support
PreDepends order for libncurses5
Trying to SmartConfigure libtinfo5
SmartConfigure libtinfo5
SmartConfigure libtinfo5
  DepAdd: libtinfo5
    DepAdd: libc6
      DepAdd FAILS on: libc6
    DepAdd FAILS on: libtinfo5
PreDepends order for libncurses5
Found ok package multiarch-support
PreDepends order for libncurses5
Trying to SmartConfigure libtinfo5
SmartConfigure libtinfo5
  DepAdd: libtinfo5
    DepAdd: libc6
      DepAdd FAILS on: libc6
    DepAdd FAILS on: libtinfo5
E: Couldn't configure pre-depend libtinfo5 for libncurses5, probably a 
dependency cycle.

It may be worth noting that this is amd64, and libc6:i386 is being newly
installed here.

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https://bugs.launchpad.net/bugs/924079

Title:
  do-release-upgrade fails to upgrade from Oneiric to Precise

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