Public bug reported:

Trying to upgrade from 12.04 to 12.10 using update manager but getting 
following error:
Could not calculate the upgrade 

An unresolvable problem occurred while calculating the upgrade: 
E:Unable to correct problems, you have held broken packages. 

This can be caused by: 
* Upgrading to a pre-release version of Ubuntu 
* Running the current pre-release version of Ubuntu 
* Unofficial software packages not provided by Ubuntu

ProblemType: Bug
DistroRelease: Ubuntu 12.04
Package: update-manager 1:0.156.14.11
ProcVersionSignature: Ubuntu 3.5.0-18.29-generic 3.5.7
Uname: Linux 3.5.0-18-generic i686
ApportVersion: 2.0.1-0ubuntu14
Architecture: i386
Date: Wed Oct 31 22:23:42 2012
InstallationMedia: Ubuntu 11.04 "Natty Narwhal" - Release i386 (20110427.1)
PackageArchitecture: all
SourcePackage: update-manager
Symptom: ubuntu-release-upgrader-core
UpgradeStatus: Upgraded to precise on 2012-10-31 (0 days ago)
VarLogDistupgradeAptclonesystemstate.tar.gz: Error: [Errno 13] Permission 
denied: '/var/log/dist-upgrade/apt-clone_system_state.tar.gz'

** Affects: update-manager (Ubuntu)
     Importance: Undecided
         Status: New


** Tags: apport-bug dist-upgrade i386 precise running-unity

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https://bugs.launchpad.net/bugs/1073642

Title:
  Cannot upgrade from 12.04 to 12.10

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