Okay, so the patch in #10 is just papering over the problem.

After further discussions, we think there's a possibility that LP:
#1094218 could be related, although we have no direct evidence of this.
For the sake of argument, let's say it is.  If the IOError with error
code 10 that is displayed in that bug occurs in this case, then that
would explain lsb_release exiting with a non-zero status, potentially
providing us with the root cause.  We still don't have an explanation
for why stderr would be closed in update-motd, but if we can prevent
lsb_release from exiting non-zero, then check-new-release won't try to
write to stderr.  Anyway, a fix for LP: #1094218 has been uploaded to
precise-proposed so let's cross our fingers and see what happens.

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https://bugs.launchpad.net/bugs/982082

Title:
  do-release-upgrade crashed with IOError in init_proxy(): [Errno 5]
  Input/output error

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