I experienced the same problem and, in my case, it seemed to be provoked by a 
bogus /var/lib/update-manager/meta-release-lts file. It contained what seemed 
to me an error report page generated by a server (the file looked like a html 
file with something like "page not available, contact the webmaster").
I think that, at some stage, ubuntu has tried to grab from the web the 
information that should be  placed in this file and the connection failed by 
any reason, only garbage was retrieved and garbage was written to the file.
After deleting the file, "do-release-upgrade" worked as expected (and wrote a 
correct meta-release-lts file). Anyway, I aborted for the moment the upgrade (I 
will perform it when I have time to face any possible problem: these upgrades 
always rise some issue to be addressed :-) ).

Good luck.

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https://bugs.launchpad.net/bugs/1354825

Title:
  release upgrades from an LTS with normal set should offer next LTS if
  next normal release is EoL

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