Looking closer, the problem appears to be the test in
/etc/etckeeper/unclean.d/50test:
[ -d .bzr ] && ! bzr status 2>&1 | wc -l | grep -q "^0$"
What the output of the following for you?
cd /etc
sudo bzr status
It appears like this test displays something for you (an error?).
(Test test should be probably rather be:
[ -d .bzr ] && bzr status | grep -q .
--
update failure when etckeeper uses bzr and tries to make a no change commit
https://bugs.launchpad.net/bugs/221383
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