The Intelligence Of Nations
By Philippe Rushton

VDare

February 27, 2002

[Peter Brimelow writes: The Washington D.C. press conference held Friday, 
February 22, to publicize Richard Lynn and Tatu Vanhanen\'s new book on 
national IQ differences reportedly did not attract one member of the national 
media. Of course, this is partly because the national media is bone idle, 
intellectually incurious and obsessed with Beltway trivia. But it\'s also 
partly because, in the last few years, it\'s become sharply more difficult to 
discuss IQ in the establishment press. That\'s what we\'re here for at 
VDARE.COM. However, the discussion apparently goes on in the catacombs of 
academe, as Lynn and Vanhanen show. The implication of their work for 
immigration policy is enormous: if countries vary systematically in average 
intelligence, then the average IQ of the immigrant inflow can be controlled by 
selecting among those countries. In other words, the National Origins 
principle, embodied in the 1920s immigration reforms and repudiated as 
\"discriminatory\" by the 196
 5 Act, actually made perfect sense.]

IQ and the Wealth of Nations is a brilliantly-conceived, superbly-written, 
path-breaking book that does for the global study of economic prosperity what 
The Bell Curve did for the USA. Richard Lynn and Tatu Vanhanen examine IQ 
scores and economic indicators in 185 countries.

They document that national differences in wealth are explained most 
importantly by the intelligence levels of the populations. They calculate that 
mean national IQ correlates powerfully-more than 0.7-with per capita Gross 
Domestic Product (GDP). National IQs predict both long-term and short term 
economic growth rates. Second in importance is whether the countries have 
market or socialist economies. Only third is the widely-credited factor of 
natural resources, like oil.

One arresting fact emerges: the average national IQ of the world is only 90.

Fewer than one in five countries have IQs equal or near the British average of 
100. Almost half have IQs of 90 or less. This poses a serious problem if the 
book\'s conclusion that IQ = 90 forms the threshold for a technological economy 
is correct.

Lynn and Vanhanen review the theories advanced over the last 250 years to 
explain why some countries are rich while others are poor. These include: 
climate theories (temperate zones are said to be best); geographic theories (an 
East-West Axis is said to be best); modernization theories (urbanization and 
division of labor are said to be good); dependency theories (exploitation and 
peripheralization of poor nations are said to be bad); neoliberal theories 
(market economies are said to be good); psychological theories (cultural values 
like thriftiness, the Protestant Ethic, and motivation for achievement are said 
to be good). Some of these factors no doubt play a role. But it turns out that 
IQ that does the heavy lifting.


Next, Lynn and Vanhanen review the scientific literature and find that IQ is an 
important determinant of educational attainment, earnings, economic success, 
etc. In the United States and Britain, the correlation between IQ and earnings 
for individuals is approximately 0.35. (That is, cleverness is a fairly loose 
guarantee of economic success for an individual, but is significant across an 
entire population.

If you bet on it at a gaming table you wouldn\'t win on every throw, but you 
would make a lot of money over an evening.) Of course, it makes sense that 
intelligence determines earnings. More intelligent people learn more quickly, 
solve problems more effectively, can be trained to acquire more complex skills, 
and work more productively and efficiently.

Nations whose people have high IQ levels also have high educational attainment 
and large numbers of individuals who make significant contributions to national 
life. On the flipside, nations with low levels of intelligence have low levels 
of educational attainment and few individuals who make significant 
contributions. Low intelligence leads to unfavorable social outcomes like 
crime, unemployment, welfare dependency, and single motherhood.

Lynn and Vanhanen prove that the widespread though rarely stated assumption of 
economists and political scientists-that all peoples and nations have the same 
average IQ-is wildly wrong. Their evidence documents substantial national 
differences in average intelligence.

The highest average IQs are found among the Oriental countries of North East 
Asia (average IQ = 104), followed by the European nations (average IQ = 98), 
and the mainly White populations of North America and Australasia (average IQ = 
98). Further behind are the countries of South and Southwest Asia, from the 
Middle East through Turkey to India and Malaysia (average IQ = 87), as are the 
countries of South East Asia and the Pacific Islands (average IQ = 86), and 
Latin America and the Caribbean (IQ = 85). Lowest are the countries of Africa 
(average IQ = 70).

Lynn and Vanhanen find that some countries do have higher or lower per capita 
incomes than their national IQ averages would predict. This is where having a 
market or socialist economy or sitting atop a sea of crude oil comes in.

Some of the countries with a higher per capita income than would be predicted 
from their average IQs are Australia, Austria, Barbados, Belgium, Canada, 
Denmark, France, Ireland, Qatar, Singapore, South Africa, Switzerland, and the 
U.S. Except for Qatar, South Africa, and Barbados, all of these are 
technologically highly developed market economies.

Qatar\'s exceptionally high per capita income comes from oil exporting, which 
is actually managed and controlled by corporations and people from European and 
North American countries. South Africa\'s much higher than expected per capita 
income derives from the high performance of the industries established and 
managed by the country\'s European minority. Similarly, Barbados\'s above 
average wealth comes from its well-established tourist industry and financial 
services, which are owned, controlled and managed by American and European 
countries.

Some of the countries with lower per capita income than would be predicted from 
their average IQ: Bulgaria, China, Hungary, Iraq, South Korea, the Philippines, 
Poland, Romania, Russia, Thailand, and Uruguay. Most of these are present or 
former socialist countries. Iraq has suffered from losing the Gulf War and a 
decade of UN trade sanctions. The large amount of ethnic conflict in the 
Philippines decreased growth.

Lynn and Vanhanen provide a detailed examination how well IQ theory stacks up 
against its competitors. For example, two significant exceptions to the view 
that a tropical climate is detrimental to wealth are Singapore and Hong Kong, 
which lie in the tropical zone but are rich. Conversely, Lesotho and Swaziland 
are temperate, lying slightly south of the Tropic of Capricorn, but poor. These 
differences, however, can be explained in terms of intelligence theory. The 
people of Singapore and Hong Kong belong to the ethnic group with the highest 
average IQs; the people of Lesotho and Swaziland belong to the ethnic group 
with the lowest.

Modernization theories, according to which all economies would evolve from 
subsistence agriculture through to various stages of urbanization and 
industrialization, have worked for Western Europe and the Pacific Rim but have 
failed for the four remaining groups of nations (South Asia, the Pacific 
Islands, Latin America, and sub-Saharan Africa). IQ and the Wealth of Nations 
proposes that modernization theories describe Western Europe and the Pacific 
Rim because these countries have appreciably the same or somewhat higher IQs 
than in the United States. But they did not work for the other four groups of 
countries because average IQs are below the technological threshold.

But why did the peoples of East Asia, with their high IQs, lag behind the 
European peoples until the second half of the 20th Century? Well, China\'s 
science and technology were generally more advanced than Europe\'s for around 
two thousand years, from about 500 B.C. up to around 1500 A.D. But in the 15th 
century, Chinese inventiveness came to an end and from that time on virtually 
all the important advances were made by Europeans, first in Europe and later in 
the U.S. The explanation may be that Europeans developed the market economy, 
while China stagnated through authoritarian bureaucracy and central planning.

The failure of Japan to develop economically until the late 19th century is 
largely attributed to a regulated economy and isolation from the rest of the 
world. By 1867-68 a revolution occurred and the new rulers embarked on a 
program to modernize Japan by adopting Western education and technology, and by 
freeing up the economy by transforming state monopolies into private 
corporations. Much of the Japanese economic success in the 20th century was 
built by adopting inventions made in the West, improving them, and selling them 
more competitively in world markets. Japan thereby built up its motorcycle, 
automobile, shipbuilding, and electronics industries.

Although it is sometimes asserted that the Japanese have not made any 
significant scientific and technological innovations of their own, this 
underestimates their technological achievements: the fiber-tipped pen (1960), 
\"bullet\" trains traveling at 210 km per hour, much faster than any Western 
trains (1964), laser radar (1966), quartz watches (1967), VHS video home 
systems (1976), flat screen televisions using liquid crystal display (1979), 
video discs (1980), CD-ROM (read only memory) disks (1985), digital audio tape 
(1987), and digital networks for sending signals along coaxial cables and 
optical fibers (1988).

African countries are at the opposite pole from China and Japan in national IQ. 
This may explain why they are such a major anomaly for modernization theory. 
The low rate of economic growth of African countries following their 
independence from colonial rule in the 1960s is one of the major problems in 
developmental economics. During the years 1976-98, the average rate of economic 
growth per capita GNP of the 41 countries of sub-Saharan Africa for which data 
are available is much lower than in the rest of the world. Many of the African 
countries actually suffered negative per capita growth rate.

Economists have quantified all possible factors, such as climate, ethnic 
diversity, geography, mismanagement, unemployment and the like, and compared 
the situation to elsewhere in the world, especially Asia. They concluded that 
these factors do not provide a complete explanation and that there is some 
\"missing element.\" Some have suggested the low level of \"social capital,\" 
i.e., the widespread corruption and lack of trust in commercial relationships, 
poor roads and railways, unreliable telephones and electricity supplies, and 
the prevalence of tropical diseases such as malaria.

IQ and the Wealth of Nations identifies IQ as the missing link. Some of these 
\"social capital\" are actually manifestations of a low level of intelligence 
in the populations. Poor telephone services and electricity supplies, low 
agricultural yields, and the poor advice given by government advisory boards 
reflect low average IQ. With a mean IQ of 70, the populations of Africa cannot 
be expected to match the rates of economic growth achieved elsewhere in the 
world.

Finally, Lynn and Vanhanen peer into the future. They predict future growth is 
most likely in countries with high national IQ scores but currently bad 
economic systems. The countries of the former Communist Bloc-Russia, Poland, 
Bulgaria, and Romania, and the People\'s Republic of China, and Vietnam-are 
good bets.

What else can be done?

Lynn and Vanhanen also list some of the factors, some environmental and some 
genetic, that might raise IQ scores and somewhat alleviate the disparities in 
national average IQ. These include: better nutrition, education and health; and 
ending the dysgenic fertility trends where the lowest IQ people produce the 
most children. (Obviously, immigration policy has a role to play too.)

The take-home message of IQ and the Wealth of Nations: national differences in 
IQ are here to stay and so is the gap between the rich and the poor countries. 
Political promises that the gap is temporary, and will be remedied by aid from 
rich countries to poor countries, or even by poor countries adopting 
appropriate institutions, will not be fulfilled. Such promises assume that all 
human populations have equal mental abilities to adopt modern technologies and 
to achieve equal levels of economic development. They do not. The authors sound 
a clarion call for the recognition of national and race differences in 
intelligence.


Adapted from:

The Bigger Bell Curve: Intelligence, National Achievement, and The Global 
Economy, 22 October 2001, (PDF version) in Elsevier Science journal Personality 
and Individual Differences)

IQ and the Wealth of Nations. Richard Lynn and Tatu Vanhanen, Westport, CT: 
Praeger (2002), 256 pp., U.S. $64.95 (Hdbk.) ISBN 0-275-97510-X

Philippe Rushton is a professor of psychology at the University of Western 
Ontario and the author of Race, Evolution, and Behavior: A Life History 
Perspective


 




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