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I bear with Onyango- Obbo.
However, I t appears to me that he has omitted the subjects (the ruled's) part and perspective. I believe the Ruled have a lot more role in it than is commonly expressed.
What make the ruled accept the succession?
What methods are employed to weaken the party? Why do those known methods still succeed?
A least Bokassa was an honest man. He just "TOOK IT"! In broad day light, more over. Mbeki was moulded too.
What to do, our leaders still come from among us. What we have, we grabb, aha aha!We create jobs by replacement after coups,aha aha
For Gook:
Mi broooda, Togo i na easioo! Them got them stuff kan plant
It is in the blood,yet.
Their Satinic Plutocrats commit so much crime that their (and indeed their families) only chances to stay alife is to secure state power aha aha aha.
And do not forget the BBBBIG BIG STUFF: JUJJU (VOODOO) STUFF, aha aha aha!
In Africa a president without the "real" power (YEN) is no president. You go be dead..., finito!!!!
Togo, you know, is the headquaters of real poweeeer,aha aha!!
If you drive through Togo, there is no compound where you do not see a "FAMILY SHRINE".
I hear they got them stuff 'can plant a tree in the middle of a compound in broad day light, aha aha!
They got them stuff is no joookuo ( no joke)! Forget the majji-majji stuff about sending bees to entertain Kony and the LRA, The one of Togo and Benin is FAAAAAYA (fire).
Who are you oppose him? My brooda, hmm liiivo mio- alone ba!!
This thing be in the blood, baaa!
joyficate
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--- On Wed 02/09, gook makanga < [EMAIL PROTECTED] > wrote:
From: gook makanga [mailto: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [email protected]
Date: Wed, 09 Feb 2005 09:12:06 +0000
Subject: [Ugnet] Muhoozi to succede M7?
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Ear to the Ground
By Charles Onyango Obbo
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Will Muhoozi replace Museveni as in Togo?
Feb 9, 2005
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Togo's dictator of 38 years Gnassingbe Eyadema pulled off one last act of political chicanery on the weekend. He waited when the Speaker of Parliament Fambare Natchaba Ouattara was travelling abroad, then died.
That gave the army the opportunity to close borders so that Ouattara doesn't return, and to install Faure Gnassingbe to serve out his father's term. When the world screamed that it was a coup, because under the constitution the Speaker should have assumed power after President Eyadema's death, the army quickly sorted out that small matter. They hassled MPs into the House, dismissed Ouattara, appointed young Gnassingbe Speaker, and changed the constitution, allowing junior to finish his father's work.
Ugandans chuckled, because of the widely held view that President Yoweri Museveni has been grooming his son, Major Muhoozi Kainerugaba to take over from him. That it's one reason he is scouting for the amendment of the constitution to lift pre
sidential term limits, so he can rule until Muhoozi is "ripe and ready" to succeed him.
Though Muhoozi's career in the army has been fast tracked, and he's alleged to be the most powerful voice on military and security matters after his father in Uganda today, opinion is still divided whether indeed he's the next president-in-waiting. Those who question the Muhoozi-as-successor scenario say there isn't sufficient evidence to hold up the claim.
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| SERIOUS SALUTE: Can President Museveni be the person to advise Parliament against lifting term limits? |
The events in Togo, however, offer us fresh pointers in the politics of son succeeding father in State House. In fact Togo is not unique, nor is it a typical African political farce. Therefore taken together with other countries where the presidency has been kept in the family, Uganda's likely future becomes a little clearer.
We shall not discuss monarchies, but most of the presidents who have handed or are planning to hand the jobs to their sons all over the world have a few things in common. First, they have all ruled for more than 20 years. When North Korea's "Great Leader" Kim Il-Sung died in 1994, he had been in power as the top man for 38 years - as long as Eyadema.
His son, "Dear Leader" Kim Jong Il took over, but in the strangest circumstances. After his death, Kim Il-Sung was named his country's "perpetual leader", making him the only dead leader in the world who is president for life. However this gives us an important pointer to why l
eaders plant their sons to succeed them that we shall return to later.
Another president who was succeeded by his son was Hafez Assad of Syria. When he died in 2000, Assad had been in power for 30 years. Bashar succeeded him. Bashar was not his father's first choice. The old man had been grooming his oldest son Basil. When Basil died in 1994, the lot fell on Bashar.
There have been several father-to-son succession projects that aborted, the most famous one being in Iraq. Deposed dictator Saddam Hussein had lined up his oldest son Odai to take over. Things went terribly wrong when the Americans invaded in 2003, ending Saddam's 24-year rule. If you count the fact that he had been a very powerful figure from 1968 as vice president, Saddam can be said to have exercised control for 35 years.
There are two closely watched son-to-father presidential successions being plotted in Africa as we speak. Egypt's Hosni Mubarak, who's been president for 24 years and is supposed to be serving out his last term, is believed to have changed his mind. He is pushing for a referendum in which he will be the single candidate, to decide whether he can add another six years while he is grooming his son Gamal as his successor.
A more familiar figure in Uganda, and fellow "revolutionary" and friend of Museveni, Libya's Col. Muammar Gaddafi, has been in power for a solid 36 years. His boy, Saif al-Islam is being groomed to take over from daddy.
These trends suggest that as leaders head for their 20th year in power, they have been in the job so long, they view the presidency as private property. Secondly, the presidency gets to define their world so much so that they see their "after life" only in continuing to rule from beyond the grave.
It is these
factors, plus the need for the First Family to protect the wealth it will have amassed and other privileges, that determines the choice of the son as successor. Daughters are excluded, on the reasoning that they could be married off, and easily come under the sway of their husbands - who could be from another clan or tribe.
In the belief that a dead father continues to live through the son, junior inherits the presidency. The decisive factor, however, is political. A non-hereditary ruler who stays in power for 20 years can't do so by being democratic. He usually removes the challenge posed by rivals and his party.
Therefore he gets rid of opponents, weakens his party, and builds his personality cult which then becomes the most powerful political force. When the Big Man passes on, there is no party to reproduce itself. There's only his cult to replace, and the son - who is his father's likeness - moves into his old man's political clothes.
Watch for t
he signs in Uganda, now that Eyadema has wizened us further. For he reminds us also that all those rulers who seek or succeed in handing power to their children started out as military leaders.
Email: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
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Gook
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