By Asuman Bisiika   
Monday, 15 May 2006
President Museveni was on Friday sworn-in to start his third term of office in a ceremony characterised by pomp, pageantry and fanfare. Ten heads of state and several delegations from other African countries witnessed the ceremony.
President Paul Kagame of Rwanda, President Mwai Kibaki of Kenya, President Pierre Nkurunziza of Burundi, President Jakaya Kikwete of Tanzania, President Thabo Mbeki of South Africa and President Robert Mugabe of Zimbabwe attended the ceremony. Other African leaders who attended the ceremony were Prime Minister Meles Zenawi of Ethiopia, Ismael Omar Guelleh of Djibout, Abdullahi Yusuf Ahmed of Somalia and Mohamed Abdelaziz, the leader of the Territory of Saharawi. Vice Presidents Azarias Ruberwa and Jean Pierre Bemba of the Democratic Republic of Congo were there as was Salva Kiir, the First Vice President of Sudan and President of Southern Sudan.
The presence of ten heads of state has been viewed as a pointer in Uganda’s foreign policy in the next five years under President Museveni’s renewed tenure at State House. But Jimmy Akena, Lira Municipality MP-elect and Personal Assistant to UPC Party President, thinks the invitation of African presidents did not represent any strategic policy insights other than President Museveni instinct for political survival. “Museveni has no consistent foreign policy to talk of. After his strained relations with President Maomar Gaddafi of Libya, he is now courting Thabo Mbeki of South Africa. All these friendships are not guided by the national interests of the country but his survival as a life president,” said Akena.
Indeed it is very hard to appreciate the diplomatic significance of Western Sahara’s (and Polisario’s) leader Mohamed Abdelaziz to Uganda. The Territory of Saharawi is under the Kingdom of Morocco but the rebel Polisario and its leadership are recognised by African countries. Because of this OAU (now African Union) recognition, the Kingdom of Morocco withdrew its membership from the continental body that brings all African countries together. Abdelaziz’s presence at President Museveni’s swearing-in means Uganda could have unwittingly immersed into the complex politics of North and West Africa.
Another controversial leader present at the ceremony was Robert Mugabe of Zimbabwe. The Zimbabwean government is the subject of sanctions by Western powers accusing President Mugabe of abuse of human rights, freedoms and stifling democratic reforms. The main plunk of these accusations President Muagabe’s policy on land re-distribution that has severely affected mainly white commercial farmers. Zimbabwe supported the late RD Congo President Laurent Kabila while Museveni supported rebels fighting the Kabila.
Kampala Central MP-elect Erias Lukwago said President Mugabe could have been the only leader who came in support of Museveni. “And given the way President Museveni showered Mugabe with praises, Ugandans should brace themselves for going the same way Zimbabwe has taken,” said Lukwago.
However, apart from the leaders of the East African Community who had to demonstrate the diplomatic show of support, the presence of other visitors or delegations represented interests. For instance, the Egyptian delegation that was led by the Minister for Water demonstrated that Egypt’s interests in Uganda centred on the River Nile waters. Uganda is to build two dams on River Nile in three and half years to ease the electricity power shortage; something that would cause some discomfort in Egypt. The national life of Egypt is based on the River Nile water. Egypt has sometimes threatened war whenever countries upriver want to use the water with its (Egypt’s) consent.
But the two presidents that could allow observers a peep in President Museveni’s foreign policy in the region and Africa were President Thabo Mbeki and President Paul Kagame. President Museveni, who had hitherto not developed a personal relationship with Mbeki, seems to have now appreciated the strategic importance of South Africa beyond the trade relations between Uganda and South Africa. It should be remembered that this was Mbeki’s second visit in less than six months.
With President Museveni’s friendship with Maomar Gaddafi of Libya thought to be on the wane, President Thabo Mbeki would come in handy. And with this, President Museveni may end up becoming the centre of AU complex politics of muscle flexing between Northern and Southern African leaders. This would make Museveni relevant to African politics and therefore boost his regional statesmanship image.
With a developed arms industry, South Africa has since 1994 become the choice source for most Sub-Saharan African arms purchases. South Africa has the biggest African investment portfolio in Uganda now and an upward rise in the import volumes with a balance of payment heavily in favour of South Africa.
Another visitor that can give observers a peep into Museveni’s policy on regional geo-politics was President Paul Kagame’s visit. Relations between the two leaders have remained icy since 1999 when the armies of the two countries fought each other in the north eastern Congolese city of Kisangani. And as a measure of salvaging the relationship between the two leaders, Paul Kagame was supposed to hold talks at Entebbe with Museveni after the swearing-in ceremony.
If President Museveni regains the confidence of President Paul Kagame, regional security would be improved. The two countries have accused each other of supporting rebels opposed to their governments. Uganda is the biggest trading partner of Rwanda and accusations and counter-accusations of sponsoring insecurity in their countries would negatively affect this trade relation.

On whether President Paul Kagame’s presence had any significant in the improvement of relations between Uganda and Rwanda, Moses Byaruhanga said: “President Museveni attended Kagame’s swearing-in and President Kagame has attended Museveni’s swearing-in. This shows that there is a cordial relationship between the two presidents”. Moses Byaruhanga is President Museven’s Special Political Assistant.
Moses Byaruhanga said that the presence of many African leaders was a demonstration of solidarity of African leaders with President Museveni’s belief in the union of Africa both as apolitical and economic entity. “The president said that Africa would do better in global politics and economics as a single entity as opposed to the fragmented nation states that make Africa today,” Byaruhanga said.
But Erias Lukwago, MP-elect for Kampala Central and party lawyer for the Democratic Party says that most of the leaders who witnessed the swearing-in ceremony did not come to express any solidarity with President Museveni but because of the diplomatic courtesy. “Almost all the presidents left immediately after the swearing-in ceremony. I don’t think President Thabo Mbeki approves of overstaying in power. Neither do I think that East African Community leaders Mwai Kibaki and Jakaya Kikwete came here to show support to Museveni unending rule,” said the youthful politician.
 
 The Mulindwas Communication Group
"With Yoweri Museveni, Uganda is in anarchy"
            Groupe de communication Mulindwas
"avec Yoweri Museveni, l'Ouganda est dans l'anarchie"
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