The Kenyatta challenge

by Tristan Coloma

Memories of the violence after Kenya’s last general election, in December
2007, are still fresh: 1,200 people died and 300,000 were displaced. So the
candidates in this year’s presidential election, on 4 March, were keen to
reassure the people as much as investors. During the election campaign, the
Kenyans were both actors and spectators in “a general act of repentance,
cunningly orchestrated in a kind of Pentecostalisation of the political
scene,”saidDominique Connan, a Sciences Po doctoral student based in
Nairobi. On 24 February a huge peace rally was held in Uhuru Park, at which
the presidential candidates held hands during hymns and sermons delivered by
the fashionable prophet Dr David Edward Owuor.

The election resulted in a win for Uhuru Kenyatta of the Jubilee Alliance.
His rival, the outgoing prime minister Raila Odinga, of the Orange
Democratic Movement, has presented to the Supreme Court a list of alleged
irregularities in a number of areas: Kenyatta was elected at the first round
by a margin of only 8,400 votes. His success has also caused some
embarrassment overseas, as he has been indicted by the International
Criminal Court over alleged involvement in the post-electoral violence of
2007.

Kenyatta told a meeting of the Kenya Private Sector Alliance in Nairobi on
13 March that the new government plans to work closely with the private
sector to make Kenya competitive. Investors have exhorted Kenyan companies
to reopen their offices (closed due to fears of post-electoral unrest) and
get the economy running again to achieve the objectives of Vision 2030, the
reform programme launched in 2008 and described as a “long-term development
blueprint to create a globally competitive and prosperous nation”. This
enthusiasm clashes with the figures published by the Kenya National Bureau
of Statistics, which is concerned over galloping inflation, the collapse of
the national currency and high lending rates at the end of 2011. Kenya is
one of the 10 most unequal countries in the world, with a ratio of 1:56
between the incomes of its poorest 10% and richest 10% (1
<http://mondediplo.com/2013/04/12kenyatta#nb1> ).

Its directors see the Lapsset Corridor project as a good way to consolidate
national sentiment, but as yet it is only a digital document, with pictures
of Dubai-style towers and Chinese-built high-speed trains superimposed on
photos of the Kenyan landscape. To protect the future port complex and help
ensure that the dream becomes a reality, the authorities did not hesitate to
send troops into Somalia, whose border is only a few tens of kilometres
away. It used the presence of the Islamist militant group Al-Shabab in the
area as a pretext to set up a buffer zone.

A Nairobi journalist looked around to check nobody was watching, then
pretended to milk an imaginary cow. Lowering his voice, he said: “The
Lapsset Corridor is designed to create avenues for corruption. The
politicians are there to drink the milk of the state, which is labelled with
an S with two vertical lines through it.” A researcher close to the project
was just as direct: “Vision 2030 measures development in terms of the number
of cubic metres of concrete poured. The aim is to misappropriate investor
and state funds.”

The project was giving cause for concern even before the cement mixers began
turning. The first issue was the feasibility study, which was the most
expensive in Kenya’s history. In May 2009 the transport ministry engaged
Japan Port Consultants to conduct it, for around $37m. Two years later a 35%
reduction was negotiated, after the Treasury intervened.

“The elites have an interest in the project going ahead, because they have
personally invested heavily in the region. So I don’t think it’s a white
elephant,” said Hervé Maupeu, a political scientist at the University of Pau
and Pays de l’Adour and specialist on Kenya. “Many politicians knew about
the Lamu project well before it was made public,” confirmed Ambreena Manji,
director of the British Institute in Eastern Africa. “It’s a kind of insider
trading: theyhave taken the opportunity to buy land and engage in real
estate speculation.”Now the government will have to buy it back.

 

           Thé Mulindwas Communication Group
"With Yoweri Museveni and Dr. Kiiza Besigye Uganda is in anarchy"
           Kuungana Mulindwa Mawasiliano Kikundi
"Pamoja na Yoweri Museveni na Dk. Kiiza Besigye Uganda ni katika machafuko"

 

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