How Obama's Failed Syria Policy Is the Next Guy's Problem

 

The Obama administration, having rejected the safe zone and other policies
that could have helped moderates, seems intent on aggravating instability by
supporting the YPG

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For American policy-makers, the ability to openly talk about their mistakes
in the international arena is a huge convenience. As the world's only
superpower, the United States can avoid paying the price for doing
irreparable harm to places like Iraq. Over the years, foreign policy experts
in Washington, D.C. published a number of books to reflect on their mistakes
in Iraq, which the U.S. invaded to find Saddam Hussein's weapons of mass
destruction that weren't. The Arabs have a saying that points out the
futility of talking about mistakes after the harm is done: Ba'da kharab
al-Basra - what's the point after Basra is destroyed?

Since U.S. President Barack Obama will not be moving out of the White House
for a few more months, the American foreign policy establishment has not
started confessing what went wrong in Syria. Actually, the SETA Foundation's
Kılıç Buğra Kanat recently published "A Tale of Four Augusts," the first
major analysis of the Obama administration's Syria policy since 2011.

Attending the SETA Foundation's annual conference in Washington last week, I
have not come across any fans of Mr. Obama's Syria policy. Most foreign
policy experts remain critical of Washington's tactical alliance with the
People's Protection Units (YPG), the PKK's Syrian franchise, and the
administration's failure to support the moderate rebels. In retrospect, Mr.
Obama's biggest mistake was to deny the moderates an opportunity to create
and enforce a safe zone in northern Syria. Having failed to heed Turkey's
warnings in Iraq, the US. scrapped the safe zone proposal - the only viable
plan. At this point, Republicans and Democrats alike agree that Mr. Obama's
Syria policy has been a disaster. Finally, former Secretary of State James
Baker described his country's unwillingness to back Turkey's safe zone
proposal, which he said could have stopped DAESH and fixed Syria, as "a very
bad decision."

Sadly enough, President Obama's bad decisions not only turned the Syrian
civil war into a complete mess but also created a transnational terrorist
organization that calls itself DAESH. To make matters worse, the Obama
administration poisoned Washington's relationship with Turkey, a key NATO
ally, by openly supporting the PKK's Syrian franchise.

Nowadays, Turkey and the U.S. are trying to settle on a road map to force
DAESH out of the Manbij-Mare stretch. Despite Turkey's concerns, the Obama
administration prefers working with the Syrian Democratic Forces, including
the YPG, instead of the Free Syrian Army. With the 2016 presidential
election fast approaching, foreign policy experts who understand that the
Pentagon's opportunistic reliance on the YPG places Syria's future at risk
cannot get through to the public. If anything, experts are starting to
believe that the American people have no interest in dealing with pressing
problems in the Middle East and Arab countries.

At this point, both Donald Trump, the presumptive Republican presidential
nominee, and Hillary Clinton, the Democratic front-runner, agree that the
U.S. should let regional players deal with problems around the world. In
other words, the foreign policy establishment is adopting President Obama's
once-controversial view that "free riders" must carry their weight - which
means that U.S. allies around the world are starting to realize that they
are alone.

Washington's isolationist turn affects not only the Middle East and the Gulf
but also South Asia and Asia-Pacific. Ukraine has to fight Russia alone.
Saudi Arabia must compete with Iran by itself. Pakistan does not enjoy U.S.
support against the Taliban and India. And Japan feels increasingly
vulnerable in the face of Chinese aggressions.

To be clear, the Obama administration has more seriously offended Turkey by
assuming a hostile stance against Ankara, which involves working with the
PKK-YPG. For the time being, decision-makers in Washington are willing to
ignore the fact that U.S. isolationism hurts their credibility around the
world and weakens their relations with U.S. allies. Still, the situation in
Syria and Iraq will be an extremely serious challenge for the next U.S.
president. Needless to say, he or she will have a difficult time trying to
clean the mess that George W. Bush and Barack Obama left behind.

Over the next years, Mr. Obama's policy advisers will publish a number of
books to tell the American people that they were wrong to ignore Turkey's
recommendations in Syria. As the saying goes, ba'da kharab al-Halab - what's
the point after Aleppo is destroyed?

[Daily Sabah, May 16, 2016]

*         


 <http://setav.org/en/burhanettin-duran/Author/86> Burhanettin Duran


General Coordinator
bduran [ at ] setav.org

 

 

EM

On the 49th Parallel          

                 Thé Mulindwas Communication Group
"With Yoweri Museveni, Ssabassajja and Dr. Kiiza Besigye, Uganda is in
anarchy"
                    Kuungana Mulindwa Mawasiliano Kikundi
"Pamoja na Yoweri Museveni, Ssabassajja na Dk. Kiiza Besigye, Uganda ni
katika machafuko" 

 

 

 

 

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