There is no left left in Israel

 <https://theweek.com/authors/damon-linker> 

 <https://theweek.com/authors/damon-linker> 

 <https://theweek.com/authors/damon-linker> Damon Linker 

 

April 10, 2019

Don't be fooled by misleading
<https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/israeli-elections-to-decide-netanyahus
-fateas-voters-head-to-the-polls/2019/04/08/df9859b2-5a18-11e9-98d4-844088d1
35f2_story.html?utm_term=.015fe9974d38> stories about Prime Minister
Benjamin Netanyahu's disappointing showing in Tuesday's election in Israel.
Even if the centrist Blue and White alliance of former military chief Benny
Gantz were to eke out a very narrow victory over Netanyahu's right-wing
Likud Party, sending Bibi into retirement to face a near-certain indictment
on corruption charges, the story of this election is not at all about the
retreat of the right.

On the contrary, the most far-reaching consequence of the 2019 Israeli
election may well be that it verified, beyond any reasonable doubt, that
there is functionally no left left in Israel. It has become a country with a
center, a right, and a far right, but no electorally viable left to speak
of.

Center-left social democratic parties have been in sharp decline in recent
years across the Western world. But nowhere has the collapse been more
stunning than in Israel, whose founders and ruling class for the first 30
years of the country's existence were very deeply linked with the labor
movement. Labor has been in retreat ever since the collapse of peace
negotiations with the Palestinians in 2000. But its showing on Tuesday was
truly astonishing: With 5 percent of the vote, the Israeli Labor Party is
now less than two percentage points away from failing to clear the minimum
threshold (3.25 percent) for winning seats in the Knesset. The party is
approaching the possibility of extinction. 

And it's not as if another left-wing party has benefited from Labor's
eclipse. With 94 percent of the votes counted, Meretz, a social-democratic
and green party, had pulled in a barely viable 3.3 percent of the vote. The
Arab parties, meanwhile, suffered from record low turnout (the largest came
in at 5 percent), and they are forbidden from joining governing coalitions
regardless.

And that's it for the left. Gantz's upstart centrist alliance and the
right-wing Likud effectively tied at 29.2 percent of the vote, with two
ultra-orthodox parties, Shas and United Torah Judaism, both coming in at 6.7
percent; and an alliance of far-right Zionist parties, United Right and the
secular nationalist Yisrael Beiteinu, both finished with 4.2 percent. (One
additional party, the centrist Kulanu, barely scraped by with 3.3 percent of
the vote.) 

That leaves Netanyahu very well placed to form a government quite similar to
the solidly right-wing one that has been ruling the country since 2015,
albeit with one significant change: Likud's share of the vote looks to have
increased from 23.4 percent to a little under 30 percent (with seats in the
Knesset expanding from 30 to something around 35 out of 120). And he did it
while running for re-election under threat of indictment — by warning
ominously that if Likud lost, the left would take over Israel.

The left will be doing no such thing in Israel anytime soon. But the fear
that it could, and the conviction that this would be disastrous for the
country, is a very powerful force in Israeli politics these days, just as
the American right hopes it will become in the United States.

Which is another way of saying that what American political scientists call
negative partisanship has been extraordinarily effective for the Israeli
right. It has done nothing for the Israeli left because, in an electoral
sense, there is no Israeli left. It exists now primarily in the minds of the
right — as an existential threat, a sort of suicidal impulse toward
surrender to Israel's many blood-thirsty enemies that must be resisted at
all costs.

Gantz may have
<https://www.vox.com/world/2019/4/9/18297212/israel-elections-bibi-netanyahu
-benny-gantz> campaigned as the anti-Netanyahu, but his disagreements mostly
focused on the corruption investigation and domestic issues. On the
Palestinian question and Israel's relations with its neighbors, the former
commander of the formidable Israeli military came down quite close to Bibi's
positions, and he maintains close ties to sharply hawkish members of the
Knesset. This would not change if his alliance ends up forming a government,
because any governing coalition would need to include at least some of the
same right-wing parties that have been Likud's partners for the past four
years. And that's assuming Blue and White doesn't join together with Likud
itself to form a national unity government.

No matter what happens in the coming days and weeks, the right in Israel
holds most of the cards, the center is its only opposition and viable
alternative, and the left is well and truly dead. 

EM         -> { Trump for 2020 }

On the 49th Parallel          

                 Thé Mulindwas Communication Group
"With Yoweri Museveni, Ssabassajja and Dr. Kiiza Besigye, Uganda is in
anarchy"
                    Kuungana Mulindwa Mawasiliano Kikundi
"Pamoja na Yoweri Museveni, Ssabassajja na Dk. Kiiza Besigye, Uganda ni
katika machafuko" 

 

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