> On 11 Dec 2020, at 18:39, Stephen Wilcox <[email protected]> wrote: > >> Not sure I would agree with this. TAT-14 lands in Denmark Netherlands and >> France as well as the UK. When I used to work for a carrier we didn’t route >> European traffic via the UK. The same is true for AC-1. Both of these where >> the state of the art systems during the dotcom era. >> >> There IS a lot of traffic exchanged in the UK and some does pass through for >> all kind of reasons but real word traffic paths are more complicated than >> this, but yes with more wet capacity not even touching the UK then there >> will be more direct paths. I am just not sure how much “visible” traffic is >> really leaving the UK. >> > All true, but you need to look at why these were built this way and who > financed them and for which customers.... > - in the TAT era, before modern DWDM, capacity is running out, the Internet > is growing exponentially, it was about connecting as many population centres > together and sharing cost mostly with formerly incumbent telcos and capacity > itself was the premium..
For TAT yes, for AC no. Global Crossing / AC was a financial play (but not financial traffic). Just not a very good one. But fundamentally that was built on the same premise. > Coming back to the original thread, cables can easily be landed in IE, UK, > FR, even PT, follow the money if you want to predict the future - hint: all > the big tech DCs are in Europe not UK, and growth areas (by %) are perhaps > Africa, parts of Asia, but there may be other drivers coming up, but there > needs to be a reason - altho the existing cables are old, there's a lot of > them and upgrades are ongoing, only phasing out old cables when their cost > exceeds what the capacity can be sold for. > > Unless there is a driver for tech in the UK, and that the UK is more > compelling than say IE, NL, DE, the doubts expressed before will bear out, > there needs to be investment, global or regional HQs, reasons for workers to > come, ease of them coming, and reasons for infrastructure to be built and a > regulatory and border framework friendly to that... and I don't see that in > the news, I see fisheries, agriculture, manufacturing of goods. I remain > skeptical. A lot of the large scale DC deployments are done, and the UK lost out. Mostly for completely other reasons than connectivity as connectivity is the cheap / easy part. But that train has left and as you say not destined for the UK. - kurtis -
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