The fact that one such effort failed -- or even that a bunch of such
efforts failed -- is irrelevant in the face of the new market
realities. Particularly the ad supported software model is one that I
think has a tremendous amount of potential to be disruptive.
Some people may well want to continue to pay premium prices for
software so that they can keep their data on their local drives, but:
(a) those people will eventually have to give way to the market
forces if for no other reason than that all the software publishers
head over there; and (b) there really needn't be a connection between
where the software is and where the data is unless the user wants
such a connection.
The success of products like Hotmail and GMail (among others) paves
the way for this new reality. I know there are a lot of folks who
think I'm all wet here. It's OK. I'm sticking with my analysis.
Dan
On Nov 9, 2005, at 4:00 PM, Brian Maher wrote:
Dan,
The company I work for tried this model (application service
provider .. i.e. you rent the software) and it did not work well at
all. The simple fact is that people will always want to "own" both
their data and the app that manipulates it. Will some people use
this? Yes. Will most use it? No.
Personally, I see the world eventually moving to more desktop apps
which use the internet (specifically http/htttps) as a transport
protocol for data (think desktop app that talks http/htttps to
apache which in turn invokes the requested cgi/servlet to process
the sent data and send back a response).
Brian
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