I would try explicitly setting the guest type to :windows so that Vagrant 
doesn't have to guess and see if you are able to get any further.

On Thursday, August 6, 2015 at 6:51:38 PM UTC-5, Michael Legleux wrote:
>
> But it obviously can, as in the debug output I see windows 10 all over the 
> place.
>
> This was with Virtualbox 4 and 5.
>
> This seems to be a relevant part of the debug output:
>
> DEBUG guest: Trying: windows
> DEBUG winrmshell: powershell executing:
>             $p = "$Env:SystemRoot"
>             if ((Test-Path $p) -and (get-item $p).PSIsContainer) {
>               exit 0
>             }
>             exit 1
>
> if ($?) { exit 0 } else { if($LASTEXITCODE) { exit $LASTEXITCODE } else { 
> exit 1 } }
> DEBUG winrmshell: Output: {:data=>[{:stderr=>"#< CLIXML\r\n"}, 
> {:stderr=>"<Objs Version=\"1.1.0.1\" xmlns=\"
> http://schemas.microsoft.com/powershell/2004/04\";><Obj S=\"progress\" 
> RefId=\"0\"><TN 
> RefId=\"0\"><T>System.Management.Automation.PSCustomObject</T><T>System.Object</T></TN><MS><I64
>  
> N=\"SourceId\">1</I64><PR N=\"Record\"><AV>Preparing m"}, {:stderr=>"odules 
> for first use.</AV><AI>0</AI><Nil 
> /><PI>-1</PI><PC>-1</PC><T>Completed</T><SR>-1</SR><SD> 
> </SD></PR></MS></Obj></Objs>"}], :exitcode=>0}
> ERROR warden: Error occurred: The guest operating system of the machine 
> could not be detected!
> Vagrant requires this knowledge to perform specific tasks such
> as mounting shared folders and configuring networks. Please add
> the ability to detect this guest operating system to Vagrant
> by creating a plugin or reporting a bug.
>  INFO warden: Beginning recovery process...
>  INFO warden: Calling recover: 
> #<Vagrant::Action::Builtin::HandleForwardedPortCollisions:0x39dfb78>
>  INFO warden: Recovery complete.
>
> How can no one else be experiencing this?
>

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