Pete. I remember reading about the "thermocline" I think it is called and spelled, which is the area in a lake or body of water where the cool meets the warm, and in Summer, the warm water is on top, and cooler water on bottom, then, in Winter, this switches and the Warm water is on the bottom, and cooler on top... Which is why the fish go deep in Winter, and in Summer when the upper water  gets too hot... I think I need to wrap more lead on my wet flies to get them down deeper.. I have a letort hopper, that I tied to look like a black cricket, which is GREAT bluegill bait here, as well as any other of the brim species. Well, i wrapped it with 5 wraps of .015 lead, and it still just hung in the water film, and ran about two inches below the surface.. I guess I need to bump the number of wraps up, and/or put a little split shot in front of the cricket right???? Thanks, Chuck
 
 All joking aside, 44 degrees air temp may be cold for you, but what is the water temperature for the fish?  Some fish lay deep where it is surprizingly warmer, while some move great distances to find that warmer water.  Of course, there are many other reasons - fly size, type, location/ time of day, moon phase, etc etc etc - the list of "it could have an effect" goes on and on... Just as a "take it for what it's worth", I bought a dollar store cheapy thermometer and use it as my fish-finder of sorts:  play "hot or cold" with the water temp to find the fish.
Hope that helps more than it confuzzles,
Pete

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