Posted by Juan Non-Volokh:
Cloudy Outlook for Clear Skies:

   Last week, President Bush [1]reaffirmed that his [2]"Clear Skies"
   proposal is his top environmental priority for the year when he
   nominated [3]Stephen Johnson to be Administrator of the Environmental
   Protection Agency. Yet Clear Skies may have trouble in Congress. The
   Senate Environment Committee has repeatedly delayed consideration of
   the bill because it may lack the votes necessary to approve the bill.
   According to [4]this report, another markup session is scheduled for
   tomorrow.

   The basic idea behind "Clear Skies" is to replace existing
   command-and-control regulation of utility emissions of sulfur dioxide
   and nitrogen oxide with a "cap and trade" program covering these two
   pollutants and mercury emissions. Basically, the legislation would set
   "caps" on the total amount of emissions that power plants could emit,
   and portions of the caps would be divvied out as tradable permits to
   power plants. The idea is that this would encourage more
   cost-effective emission reductions and facilitate greater overall
   emission reductions than can be achieved under existing law through
   the administrative process.

   Environmental activist groups oppose "Clear Skies," claiming it will
   "roll back" environmental protections under the Clean Air Act. Yet as
   [5]this article by David Whitman from the liberal Washington Monthly
   points out, most of the green critiques of "Clear Skies" are off base.
   As Whitman describes, environmentalist leaders let their loathing for
   the Bush Administration, and general distrust of Republican
   politicians, get ahead of their concern for improving environmental
   protection.

     As might be expected, green advocates criticized the Bush bill . .
     . for failing to go far enough or fast enough in reducing
     pollution. But in a novel twist, environmentalists have also
     asserted that Clear Skies is actually weaker than the existing
     Clean Air Act�and would thus allow millions of tons of added
     pollution and inflict tens of thousands of needless deaths during
     the next decade. . . . In fact, this oft-repeated green bromide
     turns out to be false. But the dispute over the bill's impact is
     only part of the story of how the perfect has become the enemy of
     the good in the clean air wars.

   The claims that Clear Skies would allow for greater emissions than
   current law are based upon highly questionable assumptions about the
   effectiveness of ordering additional rounds of emission reductions
   under current law through the regulatory process. Compared against any
   set of realistic assumptions, however, Clear Skies would clearly
   result in greater emissions reductions. Still, some environmental
   activists would claim these reductions are not enough, and oppose any
   legislation that does not include caps on carbon dioxide -- which is
   not currently regulated under the Clean Air Act at all.

   Whitman continues:

     The response of environmental advocates to Clear Skies is not
     altogether surprising, given the movement's loathing for Bush and
     his appointees, many of whom were drawn from the ranks of industry
     lobbyists. Yet for many years, green advocates have often shown a
     self-destructive intolerance for compromise. . . . Ultimately, the
     environmental movement's intense pressure to hold ranks�call it the
     thin green line�precluded honest debate about Clear Skies.

   The Adirondack Council and Democratic Senator Tom Carper were labeled
   "Clean Air Villains" for daring to suggest Clear Skies had some merit.
   For more on Clear Skies and the Whitman article, see [6]this post by
   Bishop Grewell on The Commons Blog, and [7]these remarks at Gristmill.

   To be sure, the Bush Administration has earned some measure of
   distrust on environmental issues. But this does not excuse the
   consistent misrepresentation of the Clear Skies proposal and its
   likely effect on air quality. Now the damage is done, and it is
   unclear whether Clear Skies, or any other needed environmental reform
   proposal, will make it through this Congress.

References

   1. http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A6621-2005Mar4.html
   2. http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2002/02/clearskies.html
   3. http://www.epa.gov/adminweb/administrator/index.htm
   4. 
http://www.latimes.com/news/printedition/asection/la-na-skies4mar04,1,9551.story?coll=la-news-a_section
   5. http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/features/2004/0412.whitman.html
   6. http://commonsblog.org/archives/000287.php
   7. http://gristmill.grist.org/story/2004/12/27/2320/1964

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