Posted by Dale Carpenter:
Let's make a deal:
http://volokh.com/archives/archive_2009_03_08-2009_03_14.shtml#1236737313


   At NRO's The Corner, [1]Maggie Gallagher notes that out-of-wedlock
   birth rates in the U.S. have resumed their long-term rise, after a
   period of flattening. And then she asks:

     Is it mere coincidence that this resurgence in illegitimacy
     happened during the five years in which gay marriage has become
     (not thanks to me or my choice) the most prominent marriage issue
     in America � and the one marriage idea endorsed by the tastemakers
     to the young in particular?

   On this view, not only does gay marriage contribute to heterosexual
   irresponsibility, but even advocating gay marriage sets it off. This
   is a lot to lay on a few gay couples in Massachusetts and a stack of
   unread law review articles. Jon Rauch [2]responds that there's not
   even a correlation here. There are multiple other problems, starting
   with the arbitrariness and manipulability of the starting point (why
   choose five years ago?). And note this: this resurgence in
   illegitimacy happened during the five years in which gay marriage bans
   have become (not thanks to me or my choice) the most prominent
   marriage issue in America, and the one marriage idea emphasized by
   "pro-family" conservatives to Americans, helping tar it as an
   invidiously discriminatory institution.

   But leave all that to one side. Here's my deal for Maggie: I'll admit
   that "gay marriage," or I should say more precisely its "prominence"
   among the trend-setting pointy-heads, contributed to more heterosexual
   irresponsibility, circa 2003-08. In exchange, when illegitimacy
   stabilizes or goes down, or when unmarried cohabitation falls off, or
   when deadbeat dads start paying their child support, or when the rate
   of second and third and fourth and umpteenth heterosexual marriages
   declines, or when the traffic at [3]websites promoting adultery eases,
   she will insinuate that gay marriage contributed to these trends too.
   Deal?

References

   1. 
http://corner.nationalreview.com/post/?q=OWY3ODRhNDFjNzQ0Mzk0NDI2YjM4Y2YyOGVjMGVkNDU
   2. http://indegayforum.com/blog/show/31744.html
   3. 
http://article.nationalreview.com/?q=NTQzYTQ3OGYzZmQ0ZmI4Yzg0NjMwZWUxMGVmZWUyNWY

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