Posted by David Bernstein:
Medical Innovation:
http://volokh.com/archives/archive_2009_05_17-2009_05_23.shtml#1242703131


   I don't have the expertise to discuss the various health care reform
   proposals that are being bandied about, but I do know that it's
   important to ensure that whatever is implemented doesn't interfere
   with innovation.

   Consider my own immediate family. I was born a month premature, a bit
   over three pounds, in my parents bedroom after an extremely short
   (like 5 minutes) labor. I was rushed to the hospital, where I stayed
   for over a month in a "warmer". A decade or two earlier, I would have
   been a goner. Two and a half decades later, my cousin's son survived
   being born three months premature and less than two pounds.

   My sister fell through a grandfather clock when she was thirteen,
   causing severe nerve damage to her arm. The operation took twice as
   long as originally predicted, and she could have died. Instead, after
   the surgery and physical therapy, she was almost completely recovered.
   A decade or two earlier, she surely would have lost the use of her
   arm, and perhaps not made it through the surgery.

   My mother was diagnosed with TTP, a blood disease, in the Fall of
   1988. According to the medical articles I read at the time, TTP had
   something like a 20% survival rate in the 70s, and 65% when she got
   it, though she lucked into having the leading expert in the world as
   her physician, and she (the physician) had more like a 75% survival
   rate for her patients. The first line treatment failed, but the second
   line treatment succeeded. A decade earlier, as I recall, doctors
   didn't even know about the second line treatment, and my mom would
   have died.

   Oh, and you can add my wife, who not too long ago would have died due
   to complications in one of her pregnancies. Indeed, before the
   invention of ultrasounds, the doctors wouldn't have even known about
   the problem until it was way too late.

   Given all this, it's not surprising that I get a bit antsy when I hear
   some politicians talk as if health care is fixed good, and the only
   question is how to distribute it properly.

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