Posted by Eugene Volokh:
What Next for Same-Sex Marriage in California?
http://volokh.com/archives/archive_2009_05_24-2009_05_30.shtml#1243372444


   A few observations:

   1. This decision is based solely on the California Constitution.
   Within the federal system, the California Supreme Court's view of the
   meaning of the California Constitution is final, and the U.S. Supreme
   Court has no jurisdiction to revisit it. So there can be no federal
   review of the question whether Prop. 8 violates the California
   Constitution.

   2. Supporters of same-sex marriage rights can of course argue to the
   U.S. Supreme Court that the U.S. Constitution mandates recognition of
   same-sex marriage, in all states and under federal law. But it seems
   unlikely that the Court would accept such an argument at this point,
   and in any case this case is not a good vehicle for that, since the
   decision below was all about the California Constitution. (I'm not
   sure that federal constitutional arguments were even made by the
   challengers, but in any case they weren't considered by the Court.)

   3. Supporters of same-sex marriage rights can also argue that the Full
   Faith and Credit Clause requires recognition of out-of-state same-sex
   marriages, both in California and elsewhere. I'm not an expert on the
   subject, but I my sense is that this argument [1]will fail, at least
   before the current U.S. Supreme Court and probably also before many
   state and federal courts (at least ones that aren't willing to find a
   constitutional right to same-sex marriage in the first place).

   4. Finally, supporters of same-sex marriage rights can also try to put
   on the ballot an amendment that would repeal Prop. 8, and would amend
   the California Constitution to actually recognize a right to same-sex
   marriage (or to authorize the normal legislative process to enact
   legislation recognizing such a right). My sense is that such a
   proposal will indeed soon pass, perhaps not in the next election cycle
   but likely within the next 10 to 15 years, if I'm reading social
   trends correctly.

References

   1. http://volokh.com/archives/archive_2004_03_07-2004_03_13.shtml#1078862450

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