Posted by David Bernstein:
A Constitutional History Danger:
http://volokh.com/archives/archive_2009_06_14-2009_06_20.shtml#1245441810


   Legal scholars and historians frequently make sweeping conclusions
   about the Supreme Court and its individual Justices based on votes in
   particular cases. The problem is that until relatively recently, the
   norms on the Supreme Court discouraged dissent, and the Justices may
   at certain times have had additional reasons beyond those norms for
   joining a majority opinion they disagreed with.

   I've been working on chapter 4 of my book-in-progress, Rehabilitating
   Lochner. This chapter deals with protective labor laws for women, and
   liberty of contract challenges to such laws. In 1923, the Supreme
   Court invalidated a minimum wage for women in a 5-4 vote (Adkins v.
   Children's Hospital), but a year later the Court unanimously upheld a
   ban on night work by women (Radice v. New York).

   The apparent inconsistency in these cases has led scholars to explain
   the discrepancy in a variety of ways, none of them complimentary to
   the Justices. One obvious but generally overlooked possible
   explanation is that in the night work case, the Court felt bound by a
   1908 precedent (Muller v. Oregon) upholding a maximum hours law for
   women on the grounds that women are physically weaker than men, a
   rationale that simply did not apply to the minimum wage law.

   But I just stumbled across something another interesting explanation.
   According to Felix Frankfurter's notes of a conversation he had with
   Justice Louis Brandeis, Brandeis told him that Radice almost came out
   the other way, but Justice George Sutherland, who had written the
   Adkins opinion, switched his vote at the last minute after agonizing
   over the case for some time. The other Justices still thought the
   night work ban unconstitutional, but with the Supreme Court under
   attack (most notably by future Progressive Party candidate Robert
   LaFollette and Senator William Borah) for issuing controversial 5-4
   opinions, and with Sutherland having jumped ship, the other Justices
   chose not to issue a dissent.

   Assuming that Frankfurter's notes accurately describe what went on,
   instead of a 5-3 vote (with Brandeis recused) split on women's
   protective laws turning a year later into a nine to zero vote, the 5-3
   (plus Brandeis) split was apparently turned into a 5-4 split the other
   way, with the deciding Justice on the fence in the second case until
   the last minute.

   So, for example, the view expressed by some scholars that the Court
   invalidated the minimum wage law but not the night work ban because
   the former allowed corporations to exploit workers through
   underpayment but the latter did not could only be justified if one
   could show that this was Justice Sutherland's rationale. But this
   would be a caricature of Sutherland, who believed in liberty of
   contract, and was a strong advocate of women's rights, but had an
   occasional soft spot for what he considered public-spirited
   regulation, as evidence by his majority opinion upholding zoning laws
   in Euclid v. Ambler Realty.

   In short, if you want to do good constitutional history, don't
   extrapolate wildly from the reported votes of old Supreme Court cases.

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