Posted by Abigail Thernstrom, guest-blogging:
Looking Forward
http://volokh.com/archives/archive_2009_08_16-2009_08_22.shtml#1250823165


   [Starting again with some brief responses to my engaged and engaging
   audience. Many thanks to the reader who said, correctly, I did not
   mean to imply race played no part in voter preferences in the South --
   or anywhere else. But, again, I would urge readers to take care in
   charging racism. Obama ran eleven points behind Kerry among gay
   voters; are we to conclude that racism is a significant presence in
   the gay community?

   [As to the charge that �Thernstrom and her husband have long been
   declaring that there is no more racism towards blacks," find me a
   single sentence (in the thousands of pages on race that we have
   written) in which either of us make such a ludicrous statement.

   [Last point: Preclearance is a provisions whose time has passed, I
   clearly believe. But of course I am not for repealing the VRA in its
   entirety. Most of the statute is permanent and should remain so. I
   wish only to see the Court revisit one of those permanent provisions
   -- section 2 -- and insist that it be read as originally intended.
   This is an argument I did not have the space to make in these posts.]

   At its inception, the Voting Rights Act stood on very firm
   constitutional ground; it was pure antidiscrimination legislation
   designed to enforce basic Fifteenth Amendment rights. A clear
   principle justified its original enactment: Citizens should not be
   judged by the color of their skin when states determine eligibility to
   vote.

   That clarity could not be sustained over time. As a result, more than
   four decades later, the law has become what Judge Bruce Selya has
   described as a �Serbonian bog.� The legal land looks solid but is, in
   fact, a quagmire, into which �plaintiffs and defendants, pundits and
   policymakers, judges and justices� have sunk.

   This past term, the Supreme Court had a chance to extricate itself in
   good measure by declaring preclearance -- intended to be very
   temporary -- a relic from a previous era.

   It took a pass.

   Northwest Austin Municipal Utility District Number One v. Holder
   involved a tiny Texas utility district that was formed in 1987 mainly
   to provide water to unincorporated areas. Because the Voting Rights
   Act treats all Texas localities as racially suspect, the Justice
   Department had to �preclear� the district�s decision to move a polling
   place out of a private garage and into a public school -- a move
   �calculated to increase public access to the ballot.�

   Preclearance, in the plaintiff�s view, was an irrational and
   �burdensome imposition� on the district�s �sovereign rights� to manage
   its own electoral affairs. It had no history of electoral
   discrimination.

   Declaring section 5 unconstitutional was not the Court�s only option.
   With an interpretive stretch, it could read a �bailout� provision to
   allow relief from preclearance, and did so. However, Chief Justice
   John Roberts, writing for the majority, did explicitly say, �The Act�s
   preclearance requirements and its coverage formula raise serious
   constitutional questions.� And he spelled those questions out at
   considerable length.

   Another case, another day, a different decision, he implied.

   But surely, long before section 5 expires in 2031, the Court will be
   asked once again to review the constitutionality of preclearance,
   perhaps in a case that will raise the central question: the racial
   sorting of voters in a legislative quota system.

   The picture that Congress accepted in 2006 of an America still
   spinning its wheels in the racist muck of its Jim Crow past is absurd,
   I argued in my previous post. Blacks are enfranchised. And thus the
   federalism concerns that Justice Black raised in 1966 (see my first
   post) are legitimate today.

   African Americans and Hispanics have become politically powerful. In
   addition, an army of activists and lawyers monitor American elections
   closely. Most important, how many Americans would even want to return
   to the days of old? Today, the question is how best to arrive at the
   point at which politics are truly racially integrated.

   By now, the Voting Rights Act arguably serves as a barrier to greater
   racial integration. Race-based districts have worked to keep most
   black legislators clustered together and on the sidelines of American
   political life -- precisely the opposite of what the statute intended,
   and precisely the opposite of what is needed now.

   Majority-minority districts appear to reward political actors who
   consolidate the minority vote by making the sort of overt racial
   appeals that are the staple of invidious identity politics. Harvard
   law professor Cass Sunstein describes a larger phenomenon that is
   pertinent: People across the political spectrum end up with more
   extreme views than they would otherwise hold when they talk only to
   those who are similarly minded.

   Districts drawn for the sole purpose of maximizing the voting power of
   a racial group surely encourage voters to talk only to the similarly
   minded. Arguably, elected representatives are left insufficiently
   tutored in the skills necessary to win competitive contests in
   majority-white settings. It is a self-fulfilling prophecy: Very few
   black candidates risk running in majority-white constituencies;
   majority-minority districts thus become the settings in which blacks
   are most frequently elected.

   In safe minority constituencies, aspiring politicians are under no
   pressure to run as centrists, and are most often pulled to the left.
   Their politics, along with a reluctance to risk elections in
   majority-white settings, perhaps explain why so few members of the
   Congressional Black Caucus have run for statewide office

   As of 2006, the entire CBC was more liberal than the average white
   Democrat, limiting the appeal of its members to white voters,
   particularly in the South.

   Politicians outside the mainstream can play an important role in
   shaping legislative debate. But when a group that has been
   historically marginalized as a consequence of deliberate exclusion
   subsequently chooses the political periphery, it risks perpetuating
   its outsider status. Reinforcing the sense of difference compromises
   the goal of the Voting Rights Act.

   Not all black politicians have been trapped in safe minority
   districts; the point should not be overstated. President Obama�s
   political career actually began with his successful bid for the
   Illinois state senate, running from a majority-black district. But
   Obama was a uniquely gifted political entrepreneur with the skills to
   reach across racial lines. Thus, he created, saw, and seized
   opportunity where others have not.

   Other black politicians have succeeded in majority-white settings.
   Journalist Gwen Ifill has described a number of such candidates in her
   recent book, The Breakthrough: Politics and Race in the Age of Obama.
   Mike Coleman was elected in 1999 as the first black mayor of Columbus,
   Ohio. She describes his strategy: �Woo the white voters first . . .
   then come home to the base later.�

   Nevertheless, such candidates remain the exception. The Voting Rights
   Act was meant to level the political playing field, so that blacks
   would become a political faction with the ability to enter and exit
   coalitions as other citizens do -- that is, if they chose to define
   themselves as members of a likeminded political interest group. Its
   ultimate goal was full political assimilation.

   Instead, the law -- with its continuing stress on the urgent need for
   maximizing the number of safe black constituencies -- implies that
   most black politicians need majority-black settings in order to win.

   In other respects, as well, the law today serves as a brake on black
   political progress, as I discuss in more detail in my book.

   Thanks for listening. Thanks for responding. And much gratitude to
   Eugene; I was honored to be his guest for the week.

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