Posted by Randy Barnett:
Really?  Really??
http://volokh.com/archives/archive_2009_09_20-2009_09_26.shtml#1253495548


   OK, I totally get the whole IS-OUGHT distinction thing. The
   Constitution IS what the Supreme Court says it is. The Constitution
   OUGHT TO BE what the text says. Although a little jurisprudentially
   sophisticated for my taste, I think I grasp this.
   But let me ask what has to be a simple question for my more "realist"
   compadres. Do they see no difference between using the power over
   interstate commerce to prohibit the growing of an intoxicating plant
   and mandating that every man, woman and child buy a service from a
   private company or face a hefty fine? Not make the purchase of this
   service a condition of engaging in some activity--like driving--but a
   condition of breathing itself. Not make you "contribute" to a
   universal government social welfare program--like Social Security or
   Medicare--but buy a service from a private company. What if these
   companies all happen to be restricted to operating intrastate? Still
   all the same?
   Is there a clear precedent for exercising this kind of power over all
   individual citizens--hey and noncitizens too!--by virtue of them being
   alive? No? Well then maybe this case would not be dictated by the
   "law" of Gonzales v. Raich governing the production of fungible goods
   that Congress is seeing to ban from interstate commerce. But supposing
   there is a precedent--which for all I know there is--do my realist
   friends think the justices always follow their own "law" when they
   really don't want to? Really?
   So what "constitutionality" really comes down to is whether five
   Justice have the, er, nerve to strike down a popular act of popular
   Congress a la the Evil Old Lochner Court. Fair enough. But how about a
   not-so-popular act of a not-so-popular Congress by the time the case
   reaches the High Court? What if the Repubs take back the Congress by
   then? Or just the House and knock off the Senate Majority Leader? Do
   all realist predictions about "constitutionality" remain the same? And
   if, to assess its constitutionality, we have to calibrate the
   popularity of the law and/or law maker--count the election returns, as
   it were, in advance of an election--before making our prediction on
   what the Constitution "says," does this tell us anything about the
   constitutional law game in our fair republic?
   Of course, the safe money is always on the Supreme Court upholding an
   act of Congress. ALWAYS. And the even safer money is on the four
   "liberal" justices upholding ANY exercise of federal power that
   liberals happen at the moment to favor. OK, "conservatives" too with
   respect to executive power when their guy is in the White House--or
   laws that liberals happen to favor at the moment. All our justices are
   New Dealers; they all repudiate Lochner (or Schechter Poultry).
   I realize this is all very legalful and constitutionally and all, with
   its irrebuttable "presumptions" and hypothetical "rational bases" and
   myriad whatnot. Let's all crack open our virtual copies of the United
   States Reports and figure this sucker out. However, in the absence of
   any clear super precedent, are my more realist colleagues absolutely
   confident that the four more "conservative" justices--and maybe even
   Justice Kennedy who cares something about liberty when it does not
   involve drugs--won't see some "principled" difference between a
   federal prohibition against growing something both fungible and
   intoxicating and a universal federal mandate to buy a service from a
   private company? Really? Really??

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