They've seemingly ignored another portion of the equation: People will still want cars and maintain them, so any jobs lost will just migrate to other firms providing the same services or manufacturing efforts.
-----Original Message----- From: Jed Rothwell [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] Sent: Monday, November 24, 2008 9:00 AM To: [email protected] Subject: Re: [Vo]:The case for Chapt. 11 bankruptcy for carmakers Here is a comment about the effects of bankruptcy on automobile buyers, from the New York Times. Customer opinion surveys show that the problem is severe. It is worse than I thought. - Jed Source: http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/24/opinion/24abraham.html ". . . Almost every carmaker that has ever gone bankrupt has disappeared for good. And there is no reason to believe the Big Three would not do the same. Chapter 11 filing would almost surely lead to liquidation. Just as financial institutions depend on the confidence of those with whom they do business (as Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers discovered), automakers depend on the confidence of car buyers. To purchase a car is to make a multiyear commitment: the buyer must have confidence that the manufacturer will survive to provide parts and service under warranty. With a declaration of bankruptcy, that confidence evaporates. Eighty percent of consumers would not even consider buying a car or truck from a bankrupt manufacturer, one recent survey indicates. So once a bankruptcy proceeding got started, the company's revenue would plummet, leading it to hemorrhage cash to cover its high fixed costs. That would thwart any attempt at reorganization, and the case would likely move inexorably toward liquidation under Chapter 7 of the federal bankruptcy code. Debtor-in-possession financing — which is what the bankrupt need in order to pay for the continued operation of their business — would not be available in the vast amounts required, given the plunge in revenue. . . ."
