At 1:23 AM 2/6/5, thomas malloy wrote:

>Now if we can figure out what to do about those pesky volcanos and
>the rocks that may be hitting the Sun

About the rocks hitting the sun, I think the first step toward a solution
is an early warning system.  Below are some relevant past vortex posts.
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At 1:03 PM 3/19/4, Horace Heffner wrote:
>Finding and cataloging all earth orbit crossing asteroids and comets is a
>difficult to impossible task - impossible because some may come from the
>Ort cloud or beyond and thus not have any possibility of being observed for
>a periods of a century or more, much less cataloged.  If an object
>approaches from out that far it likely has not been around for decades, so
>is very unlikely to have been cataloged.
>
>The only solution that has a chance of providing a really high quality
>warning system then it seems lies in building a space based radar system.
>Such a radar system would have to be very high powered, and would have to
>have a multi-directional receiver for long range and an omni-directional
>receiver for short range.  It would have to operate 24 hours a day in order
>to receive bounce signals.  It would probably require a comparatively low
>noise environment in its bandwidth.
>
>The subject radar should generate a continuous signal which is continually
>tagged with the time and celestial coordinates at which the beam is aimed.
[note - it should also be taggged with the transmitting station ID]
>In that manner, when a return signal is received, it is possible to tell
>the coordinates of and distance to the object at the time of the signal
>bounce from the object.  In addition, through doppler analysis, it might be
>possible to determine at least one component of the velocity as well.  It
>likely would take multiple radar platforms with significantly differing
>orbits in order to achieve full coverage.
>
>Using such an asteroid radar system, it should be possible to locate and
>catalog all nearby earth orbit crossing objects of significant size, and
>also to locate dangerous objects incoming from long range in sufficient
>time to either employ an asteroid deflecting system (if such is actually
>built) or to make the best possible arrangements for earth populations.
>
>Such a radar base might be manned, but it seems that NASA has recently both
>demonstrated the great potential of and the need for robotic maintenance
>capabilites.  Robots are clearly the main future of space exploration.
>Further, space platforms of the future should be designed in a modular
>fashion so as to permit robotic maintenance.   If Hubble were so designed,
>for example, it could now be robot maintained, and its future would not be
>in jeapardy.
>
>Robots go on one way trips. They do not require re-entry vehicles, crew
>compartments, air, water, or waste removal.  The only thing missing is
>sufficient robotic technology, but that is coming fast.  It seems to me a
>national mission with much more return for the dollar, to the space
>program, military, and the economy, than manned missions to the moon and
>Mars would be a mission on the order of the 60's space program to develop
>robotics and nano-technology.
>
>Regards,
>
>Horace Heffner
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At 9:13 PM 3/20/4, Horace Heffner wrote:
>It has been speculated at various times that a cloud or swarm of asteroids
>and/or comets exists which tends to all return at once.  Such a swarm could
>be created by various means.  One is that a heavy but fairly dark object, a
>dark or small star might periodically traverse or might have at some time
>traversed our neighborhood and disrupted the Ort cloud, sending numerous
>bodies sunward at the same time.  Another hypothesis is that a planet
>exploded.  In particular, the planet that exploded, or disintegrated due to
>a major impact, might have existed between Mars and Jupiter, where the
>asteroid belt now lies.  In that case debris might be all over the solar
>system.  However, the more extremely energetic fragments would end up
>having orbits with large eccentricities, and long orbital periods.  None of
>this is new.  The swarm has been referred to as the Nemesis Swarm, or
>Nemesis Cloud.
>
>A Nemesis Swarm might explain some extinctions for which no major impact
>area has been found.  That is because the extinction might have been caused
>by many smaller impacts of which there is no obvious geologic record.  If
>the cloud consists of many small comets, it might even explain Noah's flood
>of 40 days and 40 nights, due to the rain of water which would result from
>a cloud of small comets burning up in the atmosphere.  [Really not in
>Kansas any more with that speculation!]
>
>Of much more interest is the possibility that meteor impacts may play a
>role in solar activity, and even sunspots.  The motion of the plasma of the
>sun is governed by complex differential equations, in a manner somewhat
>like terrestrial weather, yet that motion is far more complicated than the
>weather due to the system not being merely mechanical, but also
>electromagnetic, as well as far more energetic.  Therefore asteroid or
>comet impact on the sun is a prime candidate to cause the Butterfly Effect,
>the effect where a very small perturbation can result in large feedback
>cycles that produce large events.  The effect is so named because it is
>said the flap of a butterfly's wing can be the ultimate cause of a
>hurricane.
>
>It may be possible that a swarm of nearly simultaneous impact events on the
>sun, even though not directly upon the earth, could affect the weather for
>long periods, and even initiate or change the sunspot cycle frequency.
>Such a solar event would produce limited geological evidence of its
>existence, and even less of its cause, yet could in fact cause a major
>extinction.
>
>Regards,
>
>Horace Heffner
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At 10:39 PM 3/28/4, Horace Heffner wrote:
>At 10:16 PM 3/28/4, Grimer wrote:
>
>>I presume this article would give it -
>>if anyone has access to the complete article.
>>
>>http://adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-bib_query?1985Natur.317..338S
>>
>>Abstract
>>A new study is presented of the observational
>>evidence pertaining to the theory which attributes
>>the episodic component of the earth's impact
>>cratering record over the past 600 Myr to
>>gravitational encounters between the solar system
>>and interstellar clouds that cause comets to fall
>>into the solar system and impact the earth.
>>Contrary to a claim by Thaddeus and Chanan (1985),
>>the vertical scale height of the clouds seems to
>>be sufficently small and the sun's vertical
>>trajectory sufficiently large for the modulating
>>effect of the sun's galactovertical motion to be
>>detectable in the terrestrial record of impact
>>cratering with at least a 50 percent a priori
>>probability.
>
>
>Say, since the earth has a 200 My galactic obrital period, it should cross
>the galactic plane in opposite directions once every 50 years, once every
>100 My in the same direction.  The above premise works a priori with the
>commonly accepted major extinctions, on average, so I have to wonder if
>this is why they made the prediction. Kind of a self-fulfilling prophesy.
>The major extinctions occurred about 6 times in the last 600 million years,
>so this is right in average terms.
>
>Cambrian  570 -500        70 *
>Ordovician 500-430        70  *
>Silurian   430-395           35
>Devonian 395-345          50 *
>Carboniferous 345-280  65
>Permian 280-225           55 *
>Triassic 225-195            30 *
>Jurassic 195-136           56
>Cretaceous 136-65        79 *
>Tertiary 65-present       65
>
>* general agreement on extiction
>
>Tere are essentially 5 events in each of the last two 300 million year
>periods (600-300, 300-present).
>
>If we take only the periods in which it is generally agreed that major
>extinction events occurred we get the following pattern:
>
>Cambrian  570          70 *
>Ordovician 500       105  *
>Devonian 395          115 *
>Permian 280             55 *
>Triassic 225           86 *
>Cretaceous 136        144*
>
>In this perspective there are 3 events in each of the last 300 million year
>periods, or on average one event every 100 million years.
>
>The main problem with this theory is the lack of extinctions in the
>Pre-Cambian period.  That fact leads me to believe a one time perterbation
>about 600 million years ago must have started the process.  It may be
>possible we got gravitationally entangled with a partner Nemesis rock or
>cloud that orbits at the same galactic radius but always occupies
>approximately the opposing galactic latitude.
>
>Regards,
>
>Horace Heffner
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At 10:57 AM 3/29/4, Horace Heffner wrote:
>>I have computed approximately how long it would take the full power of the
>>sun to vaporize Planet Earth. I would appreciate if someone would check my
>>arithmetic. Various Web sources estimate one to three days. I came up with
>>28 hours. Here are the numbers:
>>
>>Sun's energy: 3.8E26 watts             (actually sun's power = 3.87E26 W)
>>Mass of Earth: 6E27 grams Fe (assume it is all Fe)
>>
>>Fe:
>>1535 deg C melting point
>>2750 deg C boiling point
>>13.8 KJ/mol heat of fusion                 = 247.3 j/g
>>349 KJ/mol heat of vaporization            = 6232 j/g
>>specific heat 0.44 J/g
>>
>>http://www.webelements.com/webelements/elements/text/Fe/heat.html
>>
>>1 mol Fe = 56 g
>>Assume average starting temperature of the earth 30 deg C.
>>
>>6500 J/g to vaporize 1 g Fe                 6479 j/g
>>3.9E31 joules to vaporize earth
>>
>>102,630 seconds of sun's output = 28.5 hours
>>
>>This is for the entire output of the sun. I suppose if the Earth stopped
>>orbiting and fell into the sun it would only absorb a fraction of the
>>output and it would take longer than this to vaporize. That surprises me.
>>
>>The point is to back up my assertion that energy is the most abundant
>>resource in the solar system. Water is the most abundant substance on
>>earth. It is ironic that mankind has pretty much stopped fighting wars over
>>resources, but the two things we still fight to kill for are energy and
>>water. It is a measure of how stupid our governments are.
>>
>>- Jed
>
>
>The above numbers all look roughly correct to me.  The power density of the
>sun is amazingly low.
>
>I should note that if the earth fell into the sun it should vaporize fairly
>fast due to its kinetic energy and high internal solar density.  Using
>1.979E30 kg for mass of sun and 860,000 mi for diameter, or 6.92E8 meters,
>I get an escape velocity = sqrt (2Gm/r) = 6.18E5 m/s for the sun. That
>gives energy/gram = 0.5*(1 gm)*(v^2)/(1 g) = 1.9E8 J/g, or 190 megajoules
>per gram, or about 29000 times the heat required to vaporize the iron.
>That's a total collision energy of (1.9E8 J/g)(6E27 g) = 1.14E36 J.  The
>sun's output is only 3.8E26 J/s.  The collision energy is thus 2.9 billion
>seconds, or about 91 years of solar heat output.  If that kind of energy
>were radiated even over the period of a year, due to some earth sized body
>hitting the sun, the earth would be a very crispy critter.
>
>This shows why I suggest that a Nemesis cloud need not produce earth
>impacts to produce major extinctions.  A sufficient tonnage of solar
>impacts would be plenty good enough.  They should be capable of generating
>large solar flares and thus, if nothing else, momentarily greatly
>increasing the solar radiating area.
>
>Hopefully my computations are correct.  (You never know!)  8^)
>
>Regards,
>
>Horace Heffner
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At 11:04 AM 3/29/4, Horace Heffner wrote:
>At 11:07 AM 3/29/4, Jones Beene wrote:
>
>>
>>They probably mention that SciFi story (maybe of Arthur Clarke) about
>>using thousands of special robots from earth to convert the iron in a
>>planet like Mercury into an extremely large thin mirror - and that may be
>>doable - but upshifting and cohering that energy into an x-ray laser is
>>beyond anything that I can imagine.
>
>Computations of this kind are based on the exponential growth rates of
>economies.  If an economy grows at a sustained (compounded) rate, then a
>task of any size is eventually, and even amazingly quickly, possible.  Once
>robots are in the picture (in an economy) the sky is not even the limit.
>Tasks like consuming planets to build a device, say a spherical energy
>collector and habitable surface around a star, are soon no longer out of
>the question.
>
>Regards,
>
>Horace Heffner
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At 6:29 AM 3/30/4, Horace Heffner wrote:
>At 2:20 AM 3/30/4, thomas malloy wrote:
[snip]
>>This discussion reminds me of one that Hugh Hewitt was having monday
>>evening with a physicist who had called the show. Hewitt questioned
>>the caller about the maximium rate of speed that an astriod could
>>have, he said 25,000 mph. The question had to do with John Kerey's
>>descent, and which was falling faster, a lead slug or an astroid
>
>
>The max is actually a LOT faster than 25,000 mph, which is rooughly earth's
>escape velocity.  A comet at our radius from the sun could be carrying
>close to escape velocity from the sun at our radius, Ve = sqr(2*G*m/r) =
>sqr(2*G*(1.979E30 kg)/(93E6 mi)) = 42 km/s.  If it comes in on a retrograde
>orbit just right we add the earth's solar orbit velocity, 2*Pi*(93E6 Mi)/yr
>= 29.8 km/s, plus earth's escape velocity or about 11.18 km/s, for a total
>of 82.3 km/s, or 184,000 mph.  A body coming in from outside the solar
>system would have no such limit to its speed.
>
>Regards,
>
>Horace Heffner

Regards,

Horace Heffner          


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