Jones Beene wrote:

We are 15-25 years away from a "run-away" greenhouse
effect now.

Horace wrote:

Is this just a guess?

It seems to me entirely possible we may be in a runaway
mode right now.  Measurements of the tundra surface show
methane release is increasing and the area of thawing
regions are increasing ...

Hi All,

It's possible that 12,000 years ago solar radiation
markedly increased, and that we are now in a "warm room"
that could last another 20,000 years, based on the length
of the next to the last interglacial (two before ours).
Things in a warm room heat up.

One way out is to rapidly melt the Arctic ice cap so that
the cold Arctic winds could deposit at least 50 feet of
"lake effect" snow over North America south to the Ohio
River each summer.   Reflection of solar radiation from the
snow would lower the temperature of Earth; and the snow
would stop only when the Arctic Ocean froze over again,
leaving a mile-thick sheet of ice over Cleveland as per
most of the last few hundred thousand years.  The ice
cover would help block methane release.

Dusting vast stretches of the oceans with iron to increase
CO2 consumption may be a good idea; but that may not be enough
to stop the current release of methane in the Arctic.  Short of
melting the Arctic ice cap, the next best thing would be stopping
the use of all fossil fuels.  The increasing Himalayan
rock face would remove existing CO2 as carbonates in the
runoff to be fixed by shell fish.  This may not work if a
deviation amplifying methane release is already under way.

What would replace fossil fuels?  We could go to a methanol
economy, making the methanol from wood chips produced
by stump cutting rapidly growing poplars on tree farms.
We could use our existing infrastructure -- tanks,
pipelinces, "gas" stations, with minor modifications
to our engines.  We would thus stop sending billions to
people who want to kill us and enslave our women.  Also,
tree farming would provide many jobs.

Jack Smith


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