Jed Wrote:
<snip>

> Researchers can never come close to imagining the optimum configuration
for
> the real world. What is worse for the "first movers" who introduce a
> product, as soon as they begin selling, competitors race to develop better
> versions, and their job is made much easier because they can look closely
> at the first-generation product and its performance to see what kind of
> problems it has, and where the customers does not like it. In other words,
> they take advantage of the first mover's inevitable mistakes. At best,
> Mills and his collaborators can only get a running start on the technology
> -- a temporary advantage.

I think Mills fully realizes this. He is no fool. He has pubished enough to
entrench himself for a patent fight to gather royatlies for his partners and
original investors. I have tried to indicate the nature of the applications
problem in response to Jed's perception of Mills' "secrets". There will be a
rush of people building reactors and trying to duplicate the effects in
various application niches, and they should. They, and their first
customers, may well find that their devices are not as good as those
produced by Mills' licensees and partners. As the many get better, they will
find that Mills & Co. remains ahead, for they had a head start, have better
funding, and have been working their tails off.

This is much too big for any one company. TV was too big for RCA, so they
licensed everyone, built early sets in RCA factories under different brand
names until others could get up to speed. Even after most of the patents had
expired, RCA still made pricey license arrangements with Japanese companies
for access to the Labs for consultaiton and knowledge of advanced
developments. BLP may well follow that path.

Mike Carrell



Reply via email to