At 07:12 pm 20/07/2005 -0400, you wrote:
>Grimer wrote:
>
>>I have to respectfully disagree with that statement. Suppose you observe
>>some scientific phenomena which only occurs once and you are the only 
>>observer.
>
>If it only occurs once then it isn't scientific -- yet. You have to 
>reproduce it. If you cannot reproduce it, then eventually you must conclude 
>that you did not see it.
>
>Of course that only applies to subtle events that are difficult to detect. 
>If you see a UFO land, and an extraterrestrial comes into your house and 
>drinks tea with you, that's real. But such unique yet high-sigma events 
>hardly ever happen to anyone.
>
>Before 1989, Mizuno and others saw events such as neutrons produced by 
>palladium deuteride. In retrospect we now know that these events were real, 
>and they were what you might call precursor indications, or hints, of cold 
>fusion. However, at the time Mizuno did a lot of rooting around, checking, 
>but he never imagined it might be cold fusion, so he dismissed the events 
>as random electronic noise. You might say, he concluded he was mistaken, 
>and he had not observed anything after all.
>
>Now you might call that head-in-the-sand, blind stupidity. 


No, I would call it a missed opportunity, a lack 
of confidence in his own judgement, a reluctance 
to leave the herd. You no doubt know of the 
psychology experiment where there are ten students 
in a room, nine of which are in cahoots with the 
examiner and the tenth who isn't. The examiner asks 
a lot of questions and the nine answer honestly up 
until a question comes up where they all lie. Even 
though it is obvious the nine are lying most of the 
tenth students finish up by agreeing with the other 
nine. 

Surely the scientists that the world needs are those 
who have the courage of their own convictions even 
though the whole world is against them - extrapolators 
rather than interpolators. People who are prepared 
to die for their beliefs if necessary. Kamikaze.

    =======================================
    Greater love than this hath no man than 
    he lay down his life for his friends.
    =======================================

A scientist's first loyalty must be, not to academic, 
professional, financial, advancement - 
not to fame - but to Truth.

Simone Weil accurately summed up the situation that 
science finds itself in.

  =======================================================
  What is disastrous is not the rejection of classical 
  science but the way it has been rejected. It is 
  wrongly believed it could progress indefinitely and 
  it ran into a dead end about the year 1900; but 
  scientists failed to stop at the same time in order 
  to contemplate and reflect upon the barrier, they did 
  not try to describe it and define it and, having taken 
  it into account, to draw some general conclusion from 
  it; instead they rushed violently past it, leaving 
  classical science behind them. And why should we be 
  surprised at this? For are they not paid to forge 
  continually ahead? Nobody advances in his career, or 
  reputation, or gets a Nobel prize, by standing still. 
  To cease voluntarily from forging ahead, any brilliantly 
  gifted scientist would need to be a saint or a hero, 
  and why should he be a saint or a hero? With rare 
  exceptions there are none to be found among the members 
  of other professions. So the scientists forged ahead 
  without revising anything, because any revision would 
  have seemed a retrogression; they merely made an 
  addition.
  =======================================================

In short, the world needs more Malloves and fewer Porkers.

Frank Grimer

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