Alex Caliostro wrote:

Some experts believe that the weather cycle alone is not sufficient to explain the increased energy released from hurricanes, so entities must be multiplied.

there is no consensus so it is premature to multiply entities

As far as I know, most experts believe in global warming, so a consensus has emerged. But this is not relevant to the discussion. The experts who believe the weather cycle alone cannot explain the facts are the ones who would multiply entities. Obviously, the minority of experts who disagree would *not* multiply entities. If a full consensus emerges it will settle the issue one way or the other to everyone's satisfaction: entities / no entities, but that does not change the fact that at present some believe we have an unanswered problem that requires more parameters (entities).


there have been years with more hurricanes, there have been stronger hurricanes, and there have been years with more stronger hurricanes

Yes, of course. Anyone can see that the data is noisy. It is the overall upward trend that bothers some experts, not specific data from one year or one hurricane.


we must move cautiously as economies are already fragile -- kyoto was not baby steps

I reject the "fragile economy" argument. I think that shifting over to the production of hundreds of millions of plug-in hybrid cars would be beneficial, because it would save money and eliminate the need to import oil into the U.S. Large-scale production of wind turbines and Concentrated Solar Power (CSP) would also save money in the long term, by reducing the consumption and cost of fuel, and the burden of pollution. Wind turbines costs about the same as coal per kilowatt hour, but they requires more skilled, high-paid labor, which is usually good for the economy. I advocate substituting skilled labor and clever engineering for the brute force approach (coal mining).

- Jed


  • RE: Models Jed Rothwell

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