Jones Beene wrote:

...however?? if you can go fully robotic, and blast-off from a specially redesigned aircraft carrier, in the middle of nowhere, and with every human safely below deck... hmmm...

There is not the slightest chance anything like this would be allowed in today's world. This is not 1950. Perhaps it should be allowed. Perhaps concern over the environment has been carried to extremes in some cases. However, in general, I think we still need much more protection than we have, and much more conservation, not less.

I think large flying fission reactors of any sort are utterly out of the question.

As for space exploration, from earth-to-orbit the only cost-efficient, sensible approach appears to be the space elevator. A space elevator would eventually give us the ability to lift millions of tons of fabricated equipment to orbit, and to assemble spaceships there. Even with chemical fuel, this will open the entire solar system to us. (But something like lunar helium-3 would probably be a better choice.)

An elevator would be even be superior to a CF powered earth-to-space vehicle.

Japanese national television recently had a short news special about future technology expected by the year 2050. The space elevator was prominently featured. Many people are taking this idea seriously. I will grant, the core technology has not been invented yet, but we are closer to it than we are to something like Bush's plan to explore Mars. It would cost far less than today's space shuttle program or the ISS.

- Jed


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