I did not source my statements in that message. Sorry. These are my
impressions from reading and talking to epidemiologists. I said the
mortality rate cut off is "roughly 5% or 10%" but I could be wrong and I do
not recall where I read that. There were exceptions in 1918 such as
isolated Inuit villages where nearly everyone died. And who knows what
modern mobility might do . . .
I described:
. . . the cut-off point, when more than one person would be infected by
each carrier before the carrier dies or recovers.
By "recovers" I mean the patient no longer infects other people.
Here is a dramatic graph showing how quickly the 1918 pandemic spread and
then vanished in one month, in October 1918 in Kansas:
http://www.stanford.edu/group/virus/uda/flustat.html
You can see the disease more or less wiped itself out.
Here is an interesting article about new vaccination techniques now under
development, such as "naked DNA" on a gold substrate.
http://www.wired.com/news/medtech/0,1286,69556,00.html
- Jed
